📡 SCORES
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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Oct 7 – Nov 5
Wins
27
Losses
42
Push
3
Win %
39.1%
Pending
6
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-11-05 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): PASS YDS ≥ 240  ·  RUSH YDS ≥ 55  ·  REC YDS ≥ 45  ·  REC ≥ 4    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
8
Total Found
5
Shown
5
Actionable
1
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Joe Fagnano ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 JAC @ BAL Interceptions 0.5 -175 86.4 1
1/1
100.0%
63.6% 36.4% N/A
JAX @ BAL
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
2 Zay Flowers 3/3 JAC @ BAL Receptions 4.5 +102 50.5 0, 8, 6
2/3
66.7%
49.5% 17.2% N/A
JAX @ BAL
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
3 Zay Flowers 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 49.5 -105 48.8 0, 137, 66
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
JAX @ BAL
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
4 Lamar Jackson 3/3 JAC @ BAL PASS TDS 1.5 -110 47.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
JAX @ BAL
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
5 Tyler Huntley 3/3 JAC @ BAL PASS ATT 28.5 -110 47.6 4, 34, 31
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
JAX @ BAL
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled