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⚾ Strong Plays — MLB
2026-10-23 ⭐ All Sports → 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
MLB Thresholds (2 of last 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4 (SP only)  ·  SB ≥ 1  ·  TB ≥ 2  ·  R ≥ 1    Top Plays   All Strong Plays
Methodology: Strong Plays MLB surfaces pitcher and hitter props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
MLB Thresholds require a player to hit the stat minimum in at least 2 of their last 3 games to qualify (e.g. ≥ 1 H, ≥ 4 K for starting pitchers).
32
Total Found
19
Shown
19
Actionable
0
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Last 3 MIN Last 3 Stat Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Score Actual Game
1
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David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD R 1.5 +1500 - 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
6.3% 60.4% 93.7 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
2
Add Play
Garrett Mitchell 3/3 TB @ MIL CF TBD HR 0.5 +900 - 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% 90.0 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
3
Add Play
Jake Bauers 3/3 TB @ MIL 1B TBD RBI 1.5 +600 - 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
14.3% 52.4% 85.7 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
4
Add Play
David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD H 1.5 +500 - 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
16.7% 50.0% 83.3 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
5
Add Play
Cooper Pratt 3/3 TB @ MIL SS TBD H 1.5 +400 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 80.0 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
6
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL PH TBD TB 1.5 +325 - 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
23.5% 43.1% 76.5 N/A
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
7
Add Play
David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD TB 1.5 +275 - 5, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% 73.3 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
8
Add Play
Cooper Pratt 3/3 TB @ MIL SS TBD TB 1.5 +210 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
32.3% 34.4% 67.7 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
9
Add Play
Garrett Mitchell 3/3 TB @ MIL CF TBD TB 1.5 +185 - 4, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
35.1% 31.6% 64.9 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
10
Add Play
Jake Bauers 3/3 TB @ MIL 1B TBD TB 1.5 +170 - 2, 4, 1
2/3
66.7%
37.0% 29.6% 63.0 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
11
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD TB 1.5 +160 - 5, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% 61.5 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
12
Add Play
Yandy Díaz 3/3 TB @ MIL DH TBD TB 1.5 +155 - 4, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
39.2% 27.5% 60.8 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
13
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 TB @ MIL C TBD TB 1.5 +145 - 2, 1, 6
2/3
66.7%
40.8% 25.9% 59.2 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
14
Add Play
Brice Turang 3/3 TB @ MIL 2B TBD R 1.5 +1100 - 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
8.3% 25.0% 41.7 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
15
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL PH TBD H 1.5 +600 - 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 35.7 N/A
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
16
Add Play
Liam Hicks 3/3 TB @ MIL C TBD H 1.5 +475 - 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 32.6 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
17
Add Play
Brice Turang 3/3 TB @ MIL 2B TBD H 1.5 +340 - 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 27.3 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
18
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD H 1.5 +340 - 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 27.3 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
19
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 TB @ MIL C TBD H 1.5 +260 - 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 22.2 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W