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⚾ Strong Plays — MLB
2026-10-24 ⭐ All Sports → 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
MLB Thresholds (2 of last 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4 (SP only)  ·  SB ≥ 1  ·  TB ≥ 2  ·  R ≥ 1    Top Plays   All Strong Plays
Methodology: Strong Plays MLB surfaces pitcher and hitter props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
MLB Thresholds require a player to hit the stat minimum in at least 2 of their last 3 games to qualify (e.g. ≥ 1 H, ≥ 4 K for starting pitchers).
33
Total Found
18
Shown
18
Actionable
1
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Last 3 MIN Last 3 Stat Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Score Actual Game
1
Add Play
David Hamilton ELITE 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD TB 1.5 +300 - 2, 5, 2
3/3
100.0%
25.0% 75.0% 125.0 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
2
Add Play
David Hamilton 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD R 1.5 +1500 - 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
6.3% 60.4% 93.7 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
3
Add Play
Garrett Mitchell 3/3 TB @ MIL CF TBD HR 0.5 +900 - 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% 90.0 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
4
Add Play
Jake Bauers 3/3 TB @ MIL 1B TBD RBI 1.5 +800 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
11.1% 55.6% 88.9 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
5
Add Play
David Hamilton 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD H 1.5 +550 - 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
15.4% 51.3% 84.6 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
6
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL PH TBD TB 1.5 +260 - 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 72.2 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
7
Add Play
Garrett Mitchell 3/3 TB @ MIL CF TBD TB 1.5 +220 - 0, 4, 4
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 68.7 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
8
Add Play
Jake Bauers 3/3 TB @ MIL 1B TBD TB 1.5 +180 - 1, 2, 4
2/3
66.7%
35.7% 31.0% 64.3 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
9
Add Play
Chandler Simpson 3/3 TB @ MIL LF TBD TB 1.5 +155 - 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
39.2% 27.5% 60.8 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
10
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 TB @ MIL C TBD TB 1.5 +150 - 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
40.0% 26.7% 60.0 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
11
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD TB 1.5 +140 - 2, 5, 0
2/3
66.7%
41.7% 25.0% 58.3 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
12
Add Play
Jackson Chourio 3/3 TB @ MIL LF TBD TB 1.5 +130 - 2, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
43.5% 23.2% 56.5 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
13
Add Play
Yandy Díaz 3/3 TB @ MIL DH TBD TB 1.5 +130 - 0, 4, 2
2/3
66.7%
43.5% 23.2% 56.5 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
14
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL PH TBD H 1.5 +475 - 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 32.6 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
15
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B TBD H 1.5 +300 - 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
16
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 TB @ MIL C TBD H 1.5 +300 - 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
17
Add Play
Jackson Chourio 3/3 TB @ MIL LF TBD H 1.5 +240 - 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 20.6 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
18
Add Play
Chandler Simpson 3/3 TB @ MIL LF TBD H 1.5 +220 - 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 18.7 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L