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⚾ Strong Plays — MLB
2026-10-26 ⭐ All Sports → 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
MLB Thresholds (2 of last 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4 (SP only)  ·  SB ≥ 1  ·  TB ≥ 2  ·  R ≥ 1    Top Plays   All Strong Plays
Methodology: Strong Plays MLB surfaces pitcher and hitter props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
MLB Thresholds require a player to hit the stat minimum in at least 2 of their last 3 games to qualify (e.g. ≥ 1 H, ≥ 4 K for starting pitchers).
34
Total Found
17
Shown
17
Actionable
1
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Last 3 MIN Last 3 Stat Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Score Actual Game
1
Add Play
William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD TB 1.5 +151 - 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
39.8% 60.2% 110.2 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
2
Add Play
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C TBD RBI 1.5 +1000 - 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
9.1% 57.6% 90.9 N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
3
Add Play
David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD TB 1.5 +280 - 0, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 73.7 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
4
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD H 1.5 +280 - 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 73.7 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
5
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB PH TBD TB 1.5 +260 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 72.2 N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
6
Add Play
Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD H 1.5 +230 - 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 69.7 4
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
7
Add Play
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B TBD TB 1.5 +170 - 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
37.0% 29.6% 63.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
8
Add Play
Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD TB 1.5 +125 - 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
44.4% 22.2% 55.6 5
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
9
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD TB 1.5 +125 - 1, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
44.4% 22.2% 55.6 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
10
Add Play
David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD RBI 1.5 +1100 - 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
8.3% 25.0% 41.7 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
11
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD R 1.5 +800 - 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 38.9 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
12
Add Play
David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD H 1.5 +550 - 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 34.6 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
13
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB PH TBD H 1.5 +475 - 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 32.6 N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
14
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD RBI 1.5 +400 - 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 30.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
15
Add Play
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF TBD H 1.5 +380 - 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 29.2 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
16
Add Play
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B TBD H 1.5 +320 - 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 26.2 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
17
Add Play
Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD H 1.5 +260 - 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 22.2 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L