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⚾ Strong Plays — MLB
2026-10-27 ⭐ All Sports → 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
MLB Thresholds (2 of last 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4 (SP only)  ·  SB ≥ 1  ·  TB ≥ 2  ·  R ≥ 1    Top Plays   All Strong Plays
Methodology: Strong Plays MLB surfaces pitcher and hitter props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
MLB Thresholds require a player to hit the stat minimum in at least 2 of their last 3 games to qualify (e.g. ≥ 1 H, ≥ 4 K for starting pitchers).
40
Total Found
18
Shown
18
Actionable
4
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Last 3 MIN Last 3 Stat Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Score Actual Game
1
Add Play
William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD H 1.5 +260 - 3, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
27.8% 72.2% 122.2 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
2
Add Play
Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD H 1.5 +220 - 4, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
31.3% 68.8% 118.8 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
W
3
Add Play
William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD TB 1.5 +132 - 3, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
43.1% 56.9% 106.9 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
4
Add Play
Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD TB 1.5 +120 - 5, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
45.5% 54.5% 104.5 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
W
5
Add Play
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C TBD RBI 1.5 +900 - 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% 90.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
6
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB PH TBD TB 1.5 +280 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 73.7 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
7
Add Play
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF TBD TB 1.5 +195 - 2, 5, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.9% 32.8% 66.1 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
8
Add Play
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD TB 1.5 +170 - 4, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
37.0% 29.6% 63.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
9
Add Play
Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB DH TBD TB 1.5 +165 - 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
37.7% 28.9% 62.3 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
10
Add Play
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B TBD TB 1.5 +160 - 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% 61.5 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
11
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Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB SS TBD RBI 1.5 +900 - 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 40.0 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
W
12
Add Play
Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD R 1.5 +600 - 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 35.7 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
13
Add Play
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB PH TBD H 1.5 +500 - 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 33.3 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
14
Add Play
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD H 1.5 +320 - 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 26.2 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
15
Add Play
Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB DH TBD H 1.5 +300 - 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
16
Add Play
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B TBD H 1.5 +300 - 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
17
Add Play
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF TBD H 1.5 +300 - 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
L
18
Add Play
Chandler Simpson 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD H 1.5 +240 - 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 20.6 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final/12
W