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⚾ Strong Plays — MLB
2026-10-28 ⭐ All Sports → 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
MLB Thresholds (2 of last 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4 (SP only)  ·  SB ≥ 1  ·  TB ≥ 2  ·  R ≥ 1    Top Plays   All Strong Plays
Methodology: Strong Plays MLB surfaces pitcher and hitter props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
MLB Thresholds require a player to hit the stat minimum in at least 2 of their last 3 games to qualify (e.g. ≥ 1 H, ≥ 4 K for starting pitchers).
37
Total Found
19
Shown
19
Actionable
2
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Last 3 MIN Last 3 Stat Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Score Actual Game
1
Add Play
Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD H 1.5 +200 - 2, 4, 2
3/3
100.0%
33.3% 66.7% 116.7 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
2
Add Play
Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD TB 1.5 +115 - 3, 5, 2
3/3
100.0%
46.5% 53.5% 103.5 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
3
Add Play
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C TBD RBI 1.5 +1100 - 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
8.3% 58.3% 91.7 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
4
Add Play
Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB SS TBD RBI 1.5 +900 - 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% 90.0 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
5
Add Play
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C TBD TB 1.5 +240 - 2, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 70.6 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
6
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD H 1.5 +240 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 70.6 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
7
Add Play
Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB SS TBD TB 1.5 +200 - 8, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 66.7 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
8
Add Play
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF TBD TB 1.5 +195 - 1, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
33.9% 32.8% 66.1 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
9
Add Play
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD TB 1.5 +180 - 0, 4, 2
2/3
66.7%
35.7% 31.0% 64.3 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
10
Add Play
William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD TB 1.5 +138 - 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
42.0% 24.6% 58.0 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
11
Add Play
Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD R 1.5 +700 - 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 37.5 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
12
Add Play
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C TBD H 1.5 +475 - 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 32.6 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
13
Add Play
Jonny DeLuca 3/3 MIL @ TB CF TBD H 1.5 +380 - 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 29.2 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
14
Add Play
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD H 1.5 +340 - 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 27.3 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
15
Add Play
Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB SS TBD H 1.5 +340 - 4, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 27.3 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
16
Add Play
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF TBD H 1.5 +320 - 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 26.2 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
17
Add Play
Chandler Simpson 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD H 1.5 +300 - 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 2
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
18
Add Play
Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB DH TBD H 1.5 +300 - 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 25.0 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
19
Add Play
Yandy Díaz 3/3 MIL @ TB DH TBD H 1.5 +240 - 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 20.6 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L