Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

323

MLB

Top Over

Maikel Garcia

H • +1.3 • 88

Top Under

Chase Delauter

HR • -0.7 • 83

Top Fade

Junior Caminero

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Maikel Garcia

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Chase Delauter

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 83 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -0.7

Top 3

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 82 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -1.3

Top 4

Marcus Semien

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 79 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Rhys Hoskins

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 68 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -0.9

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jonathan India	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	1.3	0.7	1.0	37	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.7	1.5	1.0	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ NYM	HR	0.7	0.3	1.0	36	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	1.0	35	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	1.2	33	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edgar Quero	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan India	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Polanco	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ NYM	H	0.3	0.4	0.9	30	UNDER	-0.1	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.3	0.4	0.9	30	UNDER	-0.1	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	1.0	29	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ NYM	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Fraley	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ NYM	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cj Kayfus	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.9	1.0	27	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	1.0	27	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	1.0	27	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.5	0.9	26	OVER	+0.5	+0.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.3	1.7	1.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.7	1.1	25	UNDER	0.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Polanco	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	1.0	24	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.8	1.0	24	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.7	0.8	1.0	24	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.8	1.0	24	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	0.7	0.7	1.0	22	UNDER	0.0	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.7	1.0	22	UNDER	0.0	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	0.7	0.7	1.0	22	UNDER	0.0	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.3	1.3	1.0	22	OVER	+0.0	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Santana ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ NYM	H	0.3	0.2	0.9	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.5	1.1	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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