Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 14 – Apr 20 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

851

MLB

Top Over

Masyn Winn

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Mike Trout

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Matt Vierling

H • -0.5 • 28

Top 1

Masyn Winn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Brayan Rocchio

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Austin Riley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Mike Trout

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 78 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ LAA	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dalton Rushing	3/3	LAD @ COL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ LAA	H	1.7	1.7	1.1	13	FADE UNDER	0.0	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adam Frazier	3/3	TOR @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House	3/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	OAK @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	CIN @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CIN @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	OAK @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby	3/3	STL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daylen Lile ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Denzel Clarke	3/3	OAK @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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