Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 15 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

895

MLB

Top Over

Nick Fortes

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yandy Diaz

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Otto Lopez

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Willi Castro

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Byron Buxton

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Kyle Karros

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Troy Johnston

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nick Loftin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	PIT @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Slater ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAD	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ PHI	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	NYM @ CIN	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	LAA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Burleson	3/3	SD @ STL	HR	0.7	0.6	0.5	25	OVER	+0.1	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Alex Freeland	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Slater ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braxton Fulford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Vazquez	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edwin Arroyo	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jase Bowen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joc Pederson	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Loperfido ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masyn Winn	3/3	SD @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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