Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 17 – Jun 15 →

Wins

Losses

109

Push

Win %

39.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

895

MLB

Top Over

Nick Fortes

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yandy Diaz

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Otto Lopez

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Willi Castro

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Byron Buxton

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Kyle Karros

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Troy Johnston

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nick Kurtz	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Edwin Arroyo	3/3	NYM @ CIN	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Troy	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ OAK	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ WSH	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Ward	3/3	TB @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	H	0.7	1.2	0.8	28	UNDER	-0.5	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ LAD	H	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dylan Crews	3/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	NYM @ CIN	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
James Wood	3/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Callihan	3/3	PIT @ OAK	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ HOU	H	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ CIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Bohm	3/3	MIA @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Burleson	3/3	SD @ STL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Bregman	3/3	COL @ CHC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Freeland	3/3	TB @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Slater ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Blake Dunn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	MIA @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	MIN @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Braxton Fulford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ CIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bryce Harper	3/3	MIA @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bryson Stott	3/3	MIA @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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