Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 3 – Jul 16 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

38.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

MLB

Top Over

J.t. Realmuto

RBI • +0.9 • 58

Top Under

Bo Bichette

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Brett Baty

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Bo Bichette

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 2

A.j. Ewing

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 68 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -0.5

Top 3

Juan Soto

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 68 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -0.5

Top 4

Juan Soto

RBI • TOP UNDER
Conf: 66 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -0.7

Top 5

Gabriel Rincones Jr.

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 64 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -0.8

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.0	1.0	1.3	86	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
2	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
3	Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
4	Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
5	Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.8	58	OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	0.9	0.8	58	OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	H	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Justin Crawford ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	1.3	0.8	47	OVER	+0.4	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.3	1.1	0.8	45	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	H	0.3	0.8	0.8	37	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.3	1.1	0.8	33	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	H	1.0	0.4	0.8	32	OVER	+0.6	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.3	0.6	0.8	32	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Bryce Harper ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Justin Crawford ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Bryce Harper ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ NL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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