Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 3 – Aug 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1366

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Jeremy Pena

H • +0.9 • 28

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Shohei Ohtani

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ceddanne Rafaela

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Zach Neto	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.0	1.0	0.9	WATCH	0.0	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SF @ SD	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SD	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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