Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

NFL

Top Over

Devin Singletary

ANYTIME TD • +0.5 • 100

Top Under

Blake Corum

ANYTIME TD • -0.5 • 100

Top Fade

Jaxson Dart

PASS ATT • -21.2 • 77

Top 1

Devin Singletary

ANYTIME TD • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.5 | Edge: +0.5

Top 2

Blake Corum

ANYTIME TD • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -0.5

Top 3

Colby Parkinson

ANYTIME TD • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -0.5

Top 4

Kyren Williams

ANYTIME TD • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +0.3 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Tyler Higbee

ANYTIME TD • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Devin Singletary ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Blake Corum ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
3	Colby Parkinson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Kyren Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.7	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Tyler Higbee ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Kyren Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	RUSH ATT	10.3	13.3	13.8	85	TOP UNDER	-3.0	-3.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Matthew Stafford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS TDS	1.0	2.2	1.5	84	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS ATT	9.7	2.9	30.9	77	FADE OVER	+6.8	-21.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS CMP	7.7	2.3	19.5	77	FADE OVER	+5.4	-11.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Terrance Ferguson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.2	0.5	75	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Theo Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.2	0.5	75	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	INT	0.0	0.3	0.5	74	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matthew Stafford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS ATT	8.3	2.5	32.5	72	FADE OVER	+5.8	-24.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Davante Adams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	3.0	3.8	5.5	72	UNDER	-0.8	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Darnell Mooney ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.1	0.5	67	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Davis Allen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.1	0.5	67	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Terrance Ferguson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	6.3	14.4	33.9	65	UNDER	-8.1	-27.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Matthew Stafford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS CMP	5.0	1.5	21.3	65	FADE OVER	+3.5	-16.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Terrance Ferguson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	0.3	0.8	2.3	65	UNDER	-0.5	-2.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Xavier Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	2.0	24.0	14.5	59	UNDER	-22.0	-12.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Xavier Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	0.3	1.3	1.5	55	UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Devin Singletary ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	2.7	1.9	1.5	51	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Colby Parkinson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	2.3	3.3	3.3	50	UNDER	-1.0	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Matthew Stafford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	INT	0.3	0.8	0.5	48	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Blake Corum ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	1.7	0.8	0.8	46	OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Blake Corum ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	RUSH YDS	39.7	54.8	49.1	45	UNDER	-15.1	-9.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Davante Adams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.5	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.5	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Theo Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	27.0	41.1	7.8	43	FADE UNDER	-14.1	+19.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Davante Adams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	46.3	50.9	63.3	43	UNDER	-4.6	-17.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Matthew Stafford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS YDS	262.3	296.8	238.7	41	FADE UNDER	-34.5	+23.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Theo Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	1.3	2.9	0.5	41	FADE UNDER	-1.6	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Blake Corum ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	RUSH ATT	8.7	9.6	10.5	40	UNDER	-0.9	-1.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyren Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	RUSH YDS	55.7	68.0	63.0	38	UNDER	-12.3	-7.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	RUSH YDS	44.7	37.4	32.9	38	OVER	+7.3	+11.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	RUSH ATT	4.7	5.4	6.5	38	UNDER	-0.7	-1.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jordan Whittington ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Konata Mumpfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Matthew Stafford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Ronnie Rivers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Xavier Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Jaxson Dart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	PASS YDS	222.3	199.4	213.0	35	OVER	+22.9	+9.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler Higbee ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	1.3	2.5	1.5	34	UNDER	-1.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyren Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	3.0	2.3	2.5	34	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Konata Mumpfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	0.7	0.9	1.5	34	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyren Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	25.3	19.1	16.1	33	OVER	+6.2	+9.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Konata Mumpfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	3.7	7.7	14.5	33	UNDER	-4.0	-10.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Colby Parkinson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	41.3	40.2	28.1	33	OVER	+1.1	+13.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Blake Corum ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC YDS	12.3	6.3	3.2	32	OVER	+6.0	+9.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Darnell Mooney ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ LAR	REC	2.3	2.2	1.5	32	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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