Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

257

MLB

Top Over

Walker Jenkins

H • +1.5 • 95

Top Under

Coby Mayo

HR • -1.0 • 82

Top Fade

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.7 • 52

Top 1

Walker Jenkins

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Hao-yu Lee

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Josh Bell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Coby Mayo

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 82 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -1.0

Top 5

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 82 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -1.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Walker Jenkins ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SF	H	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Hao-yu Lee	3/3	WSH @ DET	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Josh Bell ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SF	H	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Coby Mayo	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	1.0	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
5	Kazuma Okamoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	1.0	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brooks Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SF	H	2.0	1.2	0.8	77	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Josh Bell ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.8	68	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brett Bateman ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.8	68	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Drew Gilbert	3/3	MIN @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.8	68	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.8	68	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	George Springer ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Samuel Basallo	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andres Gimenez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Josh Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Max Clark ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Shay Whitcomb	3/3	MIN @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Turner Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.4	1.0	59	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Royce Lewis ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SF	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	0.0	1.0	0.5	52	UNDER	-1.0	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Cj Abrams ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	1.0	52	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Dylan Crews ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	1.0	52	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Christian Koss	3/3	MIN @ SF	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	George Springer ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Daylen Lile ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Riley Greene	3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jorbit Vivas ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kody Clemens ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SF	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Shay Whitcomb	3/3	MIN @ SF	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cj Abrams ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	WSH @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Dylan Crews ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	George Springer ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Abimelec Ortiz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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