Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays.
It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.
Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.
* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM.
DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows.
BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.
