Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

70%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

100

MLB

Top Over

Michael Harris Ii

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Bryan De La Cruz

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Michael Harris Ii

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Drake Baldwin

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Edmundo Sosa

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Bryce Harper

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.7	0.3	1.5	20	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.7	0.3	1.5	20	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryan De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edmundo Sosa	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	1.3	0.7	1.5	9	FADE OVER	+0.6	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edmundo Sosa	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edmundo Sosa	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.0	1.1	1.2	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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