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📈 Trend Plays → 📋 Prop Plays → 💪 Strong Plays → ⚾ MLB Top Plays → 🏀 NBA Top Plays → 🏈 NFL Top Plays → Trend Plays → Prop Plays → Top Plays

Top Plays

Top Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Sep 28 – Oct 4 →
Wins
17
Losses
28
Win %
37.8%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by confidence (70%+ required).
Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.
Visible Top Plays
203
MLB
Top Over
Gavin Sheets
TB • +1.8 • 100
Top Under
Austin Riley
HR • -0.5 • 68
Top Fade
Freddie Freeman
TB • -3.2 • 46
Top 1
Gavin Sheets
TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8
Top 2
Manny Machado
TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +1.8
Top 3
Jackson Chourio
TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5
Top 4
Ozzie Albies
TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 85 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +1.5
Top 5
Xander Bogaerts
TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +1.5
Top 5 Action Player Active Matchup Metric Recent Avg Baseline Avg Line Confidence Signal Trend Delta Line Edge Why
Jake Cronenworth 3/3 SD @ MIL TB 0.3 0.4 1.5 39 UNDER -0.1 -1.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ MIL H 1.3 1.0 0.7 39 OVER +0.3 +0.6 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii 3/3 ATL @ LAD TB 1.7 1.4 3.3 38 FADE OVER +0.3 -1.6 Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddie Freeman 3/3 ATL @ LAD HR 0.0 0.0 1.0 38 WATCH 0.0 -1.0 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Kyle Tucker 3/3 ATL @ LAD R 1.0 0.3 0.7 38 OVER +0.7 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Lara
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ MIL H 0.3 0.6 1.0 38 UNDER -0.3 -0.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dustin Harris 3/3 SD @ MIL RBI 0.0 0.1 0.8 38 UNDER -0.1 -0.8 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 SD @ MIL R 1.0 0.4 0.7 35 OVER +0.6 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts 3/3 SD @ MIL R 1.0 0.4 0.7 35 OVER +0.6 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii 3/3 ATL @ LAD R 0.3 0.6 0.9 35 UNDER -0.3 -0.6 Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL RBI 0.0 0.1 0.7 35 UNDER -0.1 -0.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin 3/3 ATL @ LAD R 0.0 0.1 0.7 35 UNDER -0.1 -0.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth 3/3 SD @ MIL R 0.0 0.1 0.7 35 UNDER -0.1 -0.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani 3/3 ATL @ LAD RBI 0.0 0.1 0.7 35 UNDER -0.1 -0.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang 3/3 SD @ MIL TB 1.7 0.5 1.5 34 OVER +1.2 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts 3/3 ATL @ LAD TB 1.7 0.5 1.5 34 OVER +1.2 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman 3/3 ATL @ LAD TB 1.7 0.5 1.5 34 OVER +1.2 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL TB 1.7 0.5 1.5 34 OVER +1.2 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages 3/3 ATL @ LAD H 0.3 0.8 0.7 34 UNDER -0.5 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ LAD H 1.3 1.2 0.7 34 OVER +0.1 +0.6 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii 3/3 ATL @ LAD RBI 1.0 0.5 0.7 33 OVER +0.5 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Lara
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ MIL RBI 0.3 0.4 1.0 33 UNDER -0.1 -0.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ LAD TB 1.7 0.6 1.5 32 OVER +1.1 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts 3/3 ATL @ LAD H 0.7 1.3 0.8 31 UNDER -0.6 -0.1 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth 3/3 SD @ MIL H 0.3 0.7 0.7 31 UNDER -0.4 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts 3/3 ATL @ LAD RBI 0.3 0.7 0.7 31 UNDER -0.4 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman 3/3 ATL @ LAD RBI 0.3 0.7 0.7 31 UNDER -0.4 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL H 1.0 0.6 0.7 30 OVER +0.4 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies 3/3 ATL @ LAD H 1.0 0.6 0.7 30 OVER +0.4 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker 3/3 ATL @ LAD H 1.3 1.0 1.0 29 OVER +0.3 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley 3/3 ATL @ LAD H 0.3 0.6 0.7 29 UNDER -0.3 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ethan Salas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL RBI 0.3 0.6 0.7 29 UNDER -0.3 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ha-seong Kim
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ATL @ LAD H 0.0 0.1 0.5 29 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang 3/3 SD @ MIL RBI 1.0 0.7 0.7 27 OVER +0.3 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ LAD RBI 1.0 0.7 0.7 27 OVER +0.3 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL H 0.3 0.4 0.8 27 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ MIL TB 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 WATCH 0.0 -1.5 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Lane Thomas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ LAD TB 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 WATCH 0.0 -1.5 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Mauricio Dubon
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 ATL @ LAD TB 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 WATCH 0.0 -1.5 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ronald Acuna Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 ATL @ LAD TB 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 WATCH 0.0 -1.5 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Sal Frelick
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL TB 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 WATCH 0.0 -1.5 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Luis Lara
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ MIL TB 0.3 0.1 1.5 26 FADE OVER +0.2 -1.2 Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Rojas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ LAD TB 0.3 0.1 1.5 26 FADE OVER +0.2 -1.2 Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ LAD TB 0.3 0.1 1.5 26 FADE OVER +0.2 -1.2 Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich 3/3 SD @ MIL RBI 0.3 0.5 0.7 26 UNDER -0.2 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 SD @ MIL RBI 0.3 0.5 0.7 26 UNDER -0.2 -0.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy 3/3 ATL @ LAD H 1.0 0.8 0.7 25 OVER +0.2 +0.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt 3/3 SD @ MIL HR 0.0 0.0 0.5 24 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ MIL HR 0.0 0.0 0.5 24 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dustin Harris 3/3 SD @ MIL HR 0.0 0.0 0.5 24 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.
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