Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Oct 5 – Oct 11 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

53.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

MLB

Top Over

Freddie Freeman

TB • +1.5 • 89

Top Under

Brice Turang

HR • -0.8 • 68

Top Fade

Andrew Vaughn

TB • -1.9 • 43

Top 1

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Brice Turang

HR • UNDER
Conf: 68 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.8

Top 3

Brice Turang

TB • UNDER
Conf: 63 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -2.7

Top 4

Jake Bauers

H • UNDER
Conf: 60 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -1.0

Top 5

Max Muncy

TB • OVER
Conf: 58 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	0.3	0.2	1.5	24	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.1	0.9	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	1.0	0.6	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.7	0.4	1.0	12	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	1.3	0.6	1.5	11	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	1.3	0.8	1.5	3	WATCH	+0.5	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ MIL	TB	1.0	1.0	1.5	2	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	0.7	0.8	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.9	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.0	1.0	0.9	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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