Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

109

MLB

Top Over

Jose Ramirez

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Angel Martinez

H • -1.0 • 76

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Jose Ramirez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Jose Ramirez

R • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Steven Kwan

R • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Jose Ramirez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Nathaniel Lowe

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	3.0	1.1	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	R	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.0	1.0	1.0	76	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.9	1.0	73	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	1.3	1.5	69	UNDER	-1.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	1.2	1.5	67	UNDER	-1.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	1.1	1.5	65	UNDER	-1.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.8	1.5	60	UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.7	1.5	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.7	1.5	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	2.3	0.9	1.5	55	OVER	+1.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	H	1.7	0.9	1.0	51	OVER	+0.8	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.2	1.0	47	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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