Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 30 – Oct 13 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

42.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

109

MLB

Top Over

Jose Ramirez

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Angel Martinez

H • -1.0 • 76

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Jose Ramirez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Jose Ramirez

R • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Steven Kwan

R • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Jose Ramirez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Nathaniel Lowe

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.7	0.8	1.5	32	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	1.0	1.2	1.5	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	CLE @ TB	TB	0.3	0.3	1.5	23	FADE OVER	+0.0	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	1.0	8	WATCH	+0.7	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CLE @ TB	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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