Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 15 – Oct 14 →

Wins

Losses

100

Push

Win %

43.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

MLB

Top Over

Freddie Freeman

TB • +1.5 • 89

Top Under

Tommy Edman

TB • -1.5 • 55

Top Fade

Andrew Vaughn

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Tommy Edman

TB • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.5

Top 3

Andy Pages

HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5

Top 4

Brice Turang

HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Jackson Chourio

HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.3	0.2	1.5	24	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.7	0.3	1.5	20	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.0	0.6	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Edman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.3	0.8	1.5	3	WATCH	+0.5	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.0	1.0	1.5	2	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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