Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Oct 8 – Oct 14 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

MLB

Top Over

Freddie Freeman

TB • +1.5 • 89

Top Under

Tommy Edman

TB • -1.5 • 55

Top Fade

Andrew Vaughn

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Tommy Edman

TB • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.5

Top 3

Andy Pages

HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5

Top 4

Brice Turang

HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Jackson Chourio

HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	3.0	1.0	1.5	89	TOP OVER	+2.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Tommy Edman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.5	1.5	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
3	Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
4	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
5	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Will Smith	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.3	1.5	51	UNDER	-0.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	2.3	1.2	1.5	50	OVER	+1.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.3	0.6	1.5	43	UNDER	-0.3	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Will Smith	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.3	0.4	1.5	39	UNDER	-0.1	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Will Smith	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.7	1.1	1.5	38	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Will Smith	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.8	32	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.7	0.7	1.5	31	OVER	+1.0	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.7	0.7	1.5	31	UNDER	0.0	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Lara ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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