Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 16 – Oct 15 →

Wins

Losses

103

Push

Win %

42.1%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

193

MLB

Top Over

Jose Ramirez

RBI • +1.3 • 83

Top Under

Max Muncy

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Jose Ramirez

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Jose Ramirez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Brice Turang

R • TOP OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.0

Top 3

Chase Delauter

TB • OVER
Conf: 70 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Max Muncy

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 68 | Trend: -0.3 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Brayan Rocchio

TB • UNDER
Conf: 67 | Trend: -1.2 | Edge: -1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Petey Halpin	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.7	1.1	1.5	4	WATCH	+0.6	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.0	1.0	1.5	2	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	1.0	1.0	1.5	2	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	TB	1.3	1.1	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	1.3	1.2	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	1.7	1.6	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	1.7	1.6	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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