Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Oct 18 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

28.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

MLB

Top Over

Jose Ramirez

RBI • +1.3 • 83

Top Under

Jonathan Aranda

TB • -1.5 • 62

Top Fade

Jose Ramirez

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Jose Ramirez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Chase Delauter

TB • OVER
Conf: 70 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jonathan Aranda

TB • UNDER
Conf: 62 | Trend: -0.9 | Edge: -1.5

Top 4

Steven Kwan

R • TOP UNDER
Conf: 61 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -0.7

Top 5

Brayan Rocchio

TB • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.2

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
2	Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	3.0	1.6	1.5	70	OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
3	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.9	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
4	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
5	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.3	1.3	1.5	55	UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.7	1.4	1.5	43	UNDER	-0.7	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	2.0	0.9	1.5	41	OVER	+1.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	0.8	0.8	41	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.3	0.4	1.5	39	UNDER	-0.1	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.7	1.0	1.5	36	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	1.7	0.6	1.5	32	OVER	+1.1	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.7	1.3	0.7	28	UNDER	-0.6	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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