Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Win %

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Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

588

NFL

Top Over

Kirk Cousins

PASS YDS • +67.8 • 100

Top Under

Tyler Shough

PASS YDS • -46.8 • 100

Top Fade

Patrick Mahomes

PASS ATT • -3.8 • 72

Top 1

Tyler Shough

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -86.2 | Edge: -46.8

Top 2

Kirk Cousins

PASS YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +61.2 | Edge: +67.8

Top 3

Bo Nix

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -52.3 | Edge: -70.5

Top 4

Chuba Hubbard

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +53.0 | Edge: +40.5

Top 5

Jaylin Noel

REC YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +37.6 | Edge: +50.4

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Tyler Shough	3/3	PIT @ NOP	PASS YDS	175.3	261.5	222.1	100	TOP UNDER	-86.2	-46.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
2	Kirk Cousins	3/3	LAR @ LV	PASS YDS	307.0	245.8	239.2	100	TOP OVER	+61.2	+67.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Bo Nix	3/3	DEN @ ARI	PASS YDS	148.0	200.3	218.5	100	TOP UNDER	-52.3	-70.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Chuba Hubbard	3/3	TB @ CAR	RUSH YDS	108.0	55.0	67.5	100	TOP OVER	+53.0	+40.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Jaylin Noel	3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC YDS	77.7	40.1	27.3	100	TOP OVER	+37.6	+50.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jahan Dotson	3/3	SF @ ATL	REC YDS	65.0	28.9	27.8	100	TOP OVER	+36.1	+37.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Isaiah Likely	3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC YDS	86.3	56.2	49.7	100	TOP OVER	+30.1	+36.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Amon-ra St. Brown	3/3	GB @ DET	REC YDS	54.3	88.9	81.7	100	TOP UNDER	-34.6	-27.4	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAR @ LV	PASS ATT	46.0	24.9	35.5	100	TOP OVER	+21.1	+10.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryce Young	3/3	TB @ CAR	PASS ATT	42.7	20.1	35.5	100	TOP OVER	+22.6	+7.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Joe Burrow	3/3	CIN @ BAL	PASS ATT	41.0	18.9	35.5	100	TOP OVER	+22.1	+5.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Daniel Jones	3/3	IND @ MIN	PASS ATT	40.0	21.8	32.5	100	TOP OVER	+18.2	+7.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kirk Cousins	3/3	LAR @ LV	PASS ATT	40.3	21.3	34.1	100	TOP OVER	+19.0	+6.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAR @ LV	PASS CMP	32.3	16.4	23.5	100	TOP OVER	+15.9	+8.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Joe Burrow	3/3	CIN @ BAL	PASS CMP	30.0	13.5	24.9	100	TOP OVER	+16.5	+5.1	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Rodgers	3/3	PIT @ NOP	PASS ATT	40.0	23.3	35.3	100	TOP OVER	+16.7	+4.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Rodgers	3/3	PIT @ NOP	PASS CMP	25.7	14.3	21.5	100	TOP OVER	+11.4	+4.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Chuba Hubbard	3/3	TB @ CAR	RUSH ATT	22.3	12.5	17.5	100	TOP OVER	+9.8	+4.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Jones Sr.	3/3	IND @ MIN	RUSH ATT	20.7	16.8	10.0	100	TOP OVER	+3.9	+10.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Emanuel Wilson	3/3	KC @ SEA	RUSH ATT	18.3	12.3	14.5	100	TOP OVER	+6.0	+3.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ashton Jeanty	3/3	LAR @ LV	RUSH ATT	11.7	17.3	14.8	100	TOP UNDER	-5.6	-3.1	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Isaiah Likely	3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC	8.0	5.3	5.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.7	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyren Williams	3/3	LAR @ LV	REC	6.3	4.1	3.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.2	+2.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Harold Fannin Jr.	3/3	CLE @ TEN	REC	1.7	4.0	3.5	100	TOP UNDER	-2.3	-1.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Tetairoa Mcmillan	3/3	TB @ CAR	REC	7.3	5.0	5.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.3	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Rodgers	3/3	PIT @ NOP	PASS TDS	2.7	1.4	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Sam Darnold	3/3	KC @ SEA	INT	1.7	0.8	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jacoby Brissett	3/3	DEN @ ARI	INT	1.7	0.9	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	MIA @ NYJ	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Chase Brown	3/3	CIN @ BAL	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jalen Coker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Josh Jacobs ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	GB @ DET	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Michael Wilson	3/3	DEN @ ARI	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Kenneth Walker Iii	3/3	KC @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mike Gesicki	3/3	CIN @ BAL	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	C.j. Stroud	3/3	NYG @ HOU	PASS YDS	306.7	258.9	256.1	99	TOP OVER	+47.8	+50.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	MIA @ NYJ	RUSH YDS	76.3	26.1	57.9	99	TOP OVER	+50.2	+18.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryce Young	3/3	TB @ CAR	PASS YDS	300.3	248.7	254.0	98	TOP OVER	+51.6	+46.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Christian Kirk ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC YDS	53.7	29.4	23.1	98	TOP OVER	+24.3	+30.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Jones Sr.	3/3	IND @ MIN	RUSH YDS	88.3	66.1	39.1	95	TOP OVER	+22.2	+49.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Tetairoa Mcmillan	3/3	TB @ CAR	REC YDS	98.3	74.0	69.9	95	TOP OVER	+24.3	+28.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bijan Robinson	3/3	SF @ ATL	RUSH ATT	15.0	18.3	19.3	95	TOP UNDER	-3.3	-4.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bijan Robinson	3/3	SF @ ATL	REC	2.3	4.3	4.1	94	TOP UNDER	-2.0	-1.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Isaac Teslaa	3/3	GB @ DET	REC YDS	53.7	32.6	23.7	93	TOP OVER	+21.1	+30.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kirk Cousins	3/3	LAR @ LV	PASS CMP	24.3	13.5	21.5	93	TOP OVER	+10.8	+2.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Dk Metcalf	3/3	PIT @ NOP	REC	6.3	4.6	4.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.7	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bam Knight ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DEN @ ARI	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bryce Young	3/3	TB @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Christian Mccaffrey	3/3	SF @ ATL	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.7	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Isaac Teslaa	3/3	GB @ DET	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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