Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Oct 4 – Nov 2

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

39.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

NFL

Top Over

Luther Burden Iii

REC YDS • +39.0 • 100

Top Under

Jahdae Walker

ANYTIME TD • -0.5 • 92

Top Fade

Caleb Williams

PASS ATT • -0.8 • 52

Top 1

Luther Burden Iii

REC YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +31.5 | Edge: +39.0

Top 2

Sam Darnold

PASS ATT • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +18.3 | Edge: +5.8

Top 3

Sam Darnold

INT • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.2

Top 4

D'andre Swift

ANYTIME TD • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.5 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Emanuel Wilson

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +24.4 | Edge: +51.7

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Luther Burden Iii	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	90.7	59.2	51.7	100	TOP OVER	+31.5	+39.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS ATT	36.0	17.7	30.2	100	TOP OVER	+18.3	+5.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	INT	1.7	0.8	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	D'andre Swift	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Emanuel Wilson	3/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH YDS	71.0	46.6	19.3	98	TOP OVER	+24.4	+51.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jahdae Walker	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jaxon Smith-njigba	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	128.7	106.6	101.3	90	TOP OVER	+22.1	+27.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS TDS	0.7	1.3	1.5	80	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Charbonnet ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH YDS	68.0	52.0	32.8	79	OVER	+16.0	+35.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS CMP	22.3	8.8	20.5	77	OVER	+13.5	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Aj Barner	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.2	0.5	75	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Cooper Kupp	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.2	0.5	75	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kalif Raymond	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.2	0.5	75	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS CMP	21.7	11.0	20.2	74	OVER	+10.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.1	0.5	67	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Eric Saubert	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.1	0.5	67	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS TDS	1.0	1.7	1.5	66	TOP UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colston Loveland	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.7	0.3	0.5	62	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Emanuel Wilson	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.7	0.3	0.5	62	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kalif Raymond	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	8.0	36.3	16.6	61	UNDER	-28.3	-8.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jaxon Smith-njigba	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	8.7	7.5	7.5	58	OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	D'andre Swift	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	4.0	2.5	3.3	53	OVER	+1.5	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luther Burden Iii	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	5.3	4.4	4.2	53	OVER	+0.9	+1.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS ATT	31.7	12.4	32.5	52	FADE OVER	+19.3	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Kalif Raymond	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	1.7	3.4	2.0	48	UNDER	-1.7	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	INT	0.3	0.7	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brady Russell	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Rome Odunze	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Zach Charbonnet ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.7	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.1	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS YDS	243.3	216.0	237.2	35	OVER	+27.3	+6.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	George Holani	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.1	0.5	34	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Colston Loveland	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	5.0	4.8	4.2	33	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sam Darnold	3/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH YDS	13.7	7.5	4.7	32	OVER	+6.2	+9.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	D'andre Swift	3/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH YDS	55.0	64.6	59.3	29	UNDER	-9.6	-4.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Rome Odunze	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	49.3	47.7	40.0	27	OVER	+1.6	+9.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luther Burden Iii	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Aj Barner	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	3.3	2.5	3.3	25	OVER	+0.8	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	PASS YDS	250.3	267.2	230.8	24	FADE UNDER	-16.9	+19.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	D'andre Swift	3/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH ATT	15.7	15.8	16.5	21	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jaxon Smith-njigba	3/3	CHI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.7	0.7	0.5	17	FADE UNDER	0.0	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Colston Loveland	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	51.0	52.8	42.1	11	FADE UNDER	-1.8	+8.9	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Cooper Kupp	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC	3.0	3.3	2.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Zach Charbonnet ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	11.7	8.7	7.5	1	WATCH	+3.0	+4.2	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Cooper Kupp	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	28.3	35.6	28.4	0	WATCH	-7.3	-0.1	Trend is moving faster than the market confirmation.
	D'andre Swift	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	22.7	19.8	18.6	0	WATCH	+2.9	+4.1	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Caleb Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH YDS	21.0	25.0	22.5	0	WATCH	-4.0	-1.5	Trend is moving faster than the market confirmation.
	Aj Barner	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	26.0	24.7	30.0	0	WATCH	+1.3	-4.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Eric Saubert	3/3	CHI @ SEA	REC YDS	5.7	3.0	4.5	0	WATCH	+2.7	+1.2	Trend is moving faster than the market confirmation.
	Luther Burden Iii	3/3	CHI @ SEA	RUSH YDS	3.0	3.5	4.2	0	WATCH	-0.5	-1.2	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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