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📈 Trend Plays → 📋 Prop Plays → 💪 Strong Plays → ⚾ MLB Top Plays → 🏀 NBA Top Plays → 🏈 NFL Top Plays → Trend Plays → Prop Plays → Top Plays

Top Plays

Top Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Oct 23 – Nov 5
Wins
18
Losses
22
Push
1
Win %
45%
Pending
6
Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.
Visible Top Plays
46
NFL
Top Over
PASS YDS • +47.8 • 92
Top Under
RUSH ATT • -2.3 • 98
Top Fade
REC YDS • +19.2 • 49
Top 1
RUSH ATT • TOP UNDER
Conf: 98 | Trend: -6.4 | Edge: -2.3
Top 2
PASS YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +40.8 | Edge: +47.8
Top 3
PASS TDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.5
Top 4
RUSH YDS • UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -45.4 | Edge: -14.9
Top 5
PASS ATT • OVER
Conf: 75 | Trend: +11.5 | Edge: +1.8
Top 5 Action Player Active Matchup Metric Recent Avg Baseline Avg Line Confidence Signal Trend Delta Line Edge Why
1 Derrick Henry 3/3 JAC @ BAL RUSH ATT 15.0 21.4 17.3 98 TOP UNDER -6.4 -2.3 Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
2 Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL PASS YDS 282.3 241.5 234.5 92 TOP OVER +40.8 +47.8 Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3 Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL PASS TDS 3.0 2.3 1.5 90 TOP OVER +0.7 +1.5 Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4 Derrick Henry 3/3 JAC @ BAL RUSH YDS 52.0 97.4 66.9 86 UNDER -45.4 -14.9 Negative trend with market support still in place.
5 Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL PASS ATT 31.3 19.8 29.5 75 OVER +11.5 +1.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Strange 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.2 0.5 75 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Devontez Walker 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.2 0.5 75 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakobi Meyers 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.2 0.5 75 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brian Thomas Jr. 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 0.3 1.9 1.5 73 TOP UNDER -1.6 -1.2 Down trend plus supportive under value.
Justice Hill 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.1 0.5 67 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mark Andrews 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.1 0.5 67 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Quintin Morris 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.1 0.5 67 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rasheen Ali
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.1 0.5 67 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rashod Bateman 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.1 0.5 67 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.1 0.5 67 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Derrick Henry 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.3 0.7 0.5 62 UNDER -0.4 -0.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Strange 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 55.7 44.9 35.3 57 OVER +10.8 +20.4 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Justice Hill 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 3.3 1.8 2.5 57 OVER +1.5 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zay Flowers 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.3 0.6 0.5 53 UNDER -0.3 -0.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL PASS CMP 19.3 13.0 19.3 51 OVER +6.3 +0.0 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Strange 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 4.7 3.9 3.5 51 OVER +0.8 +1.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zay Flowers 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 67.7 86.0 48.5 49 FADE UNDER -18.3 +19.2 Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brian Thomas Jr. 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 4.0 22.6 13.3 49 UNDER -18.6 -9.3 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Parker Washington 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 3.7 4.7 4.5 48 UNDER -1.0 -0.8 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.3 0.5 0.5 44 UNDER -0.2 -0.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Parker Washington 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.3 0.5 0.5 44 UNDER -0.2 -0.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rashod Bateman 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 1.0 2.0 1.5 39 UNDER -1.0 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ameer Abdullah
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.0 0.5 38 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lajohntay Wester 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.0 0.5 38 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lequint Allen Jr. 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.0 0.0 0.5 38 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bhayshul Tuten 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.7 0.6 0.5 36 OVER +0.1 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mark Andrews 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 13.7 26.0 19.1 35 UNDER -12.3 -5.4 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakobi Meyers 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 48.0 40.4 38.7 35 OVER +7.6 +9.3 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mark Andrews 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 2.3 3.5 2.5 34 UNDER -1.2 -0.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justice Hill 3/3 JAC @ BAL RUSH YDS 7.3 15.6 14.0 31 UNDER -8.3 -6.7 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakobi Meyers 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 3.0 3.4 3.5 29 UNDER -0.4 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL RUSH ATT 3.0 3.6 3.5 21 UNDER -0.6 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brian Thomas Jr. 3/3 JAC @ BAL ANYTIME TD 0.3 0.3 0.5 17 FADE OVER +0.0 -0.2 Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rashod Bateman 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 18.3 29.5 14.5 15 FADE UNDER -11.2 +3.8 Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zay Flowers 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 4.7 5.5 4.5 12 FADE UNDER -0.8 +0.2 Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL INT 0.7 0.7 0.5 9 FADE UNDER 0.0 +0.2 Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Justice Hill 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 18.3 11.6 14.7 5 WATCH +6.7 +3.6 Trend is moving faster than the market confirmation.
Parker Washington 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 68.0 74.1 63.9 4 WATCH -6.1 +4.1 Trend is moving faster than the market confirmation.
Derrick Henry 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC YDS 4.3 7.5 6.9 0 WATCH -3.2 -2.6 Trend is moving faster than the market confirmation.
Trevor Lawrence 3/3 JAC @ BAL RUSH YDS 15.3 14.8 12.1 0 WATCH +0.5 +3.2 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Derrick Henry 3/3 JAC @ BAL REC 1.3 1.2 1.5 0 WATCH +0.1 -0.2 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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