Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

664

NFL

Top Over

Jahmyr Gibbs

RUSH YDS • +41.5 • 100

Top Under

Shedeur Sanders

PASS YDS • -149.6 • 100

Top Fade

J.j. Mccarthy

PASS ATT • -13.4 • 94

Top 1

Shedeur Sanders

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -102.5 | Edge: -149.6

Top 2

Baker Mayfield

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -83.5 | Edge: -116.3

Top 3

Tyler Shough

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -89.4 | Edge: -53.7

Top 4

Matthew Stafford

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -86.5 | Edge: -53.3

Top 5

Jahmyr Gibbs

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +50.4 | Edge: +41.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Malik Willis	3/3	DET @ MIA	PASS ATT	26.7	18.3	27.5	43	FADE OVER	+8.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Nix	3/3	DEN @ CAR	PASS CMP	17.3	14.9	21.5	43	FADE OVER	+2.4	-4.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
D'andre Swift	3/3	TB @ CHI	REC	3.3	2.6	2.5	43	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Emeka Egbuka ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CHI	REC YDS	33.0	37.2	49.4	42	UNDER	-4.2	-16.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Maye	3/3	GB @ NE	PASS ATT	27.7	23.4	31.5	42	FADE OVER	+4.3	-3.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Young	3/3	DEN @ CAR	PASS CMP	19.0	15.8	22.4	42	FADE OVER	+3.2	-3.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Mccaffrey	3/3	LV @ SF	RUSH ATT	11.3	11.8	13.7	42	UNDER	-0.5	-2.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Maye	3/3	GB @ NE	PASS YDS	251.7	236.4	230.3	41	OVER	+15.3	+21.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Higbee	3/3	LAR @ WSH	REC YDS	16.7	31.3	24.3	41	UNDER	-14.6	-7.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Flournoy	3/3	DAL @ IND	REC YDS	49.3	42.8	35.4	41	OVER	+6.5	+13.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAR @ WSH	PASS ATT	29.0	30.3	32.5	41	UNDER	-1.3	-3.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rachaad White	3/3	LAR @ WSH	RUSH ATT	8.3	6.2	10.7	41	FADE OVER	+2.1	-2.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sione Vaki	3/3	DET @ MIA	RUSH ATT	6.0	2.7	5.8	41	OVER	+3.3	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Breece Hall ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYJ @ KC	REC	3.3	2.4	2.7	41	OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Stefon Diggs	3/3	LAR @ WSH	REC	4.7	4.1	3.8	41	OVER	+0.6	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Darius Cooper	3/3	NYG @ PHI	REC	1.3	1.5	2.5	41	UNDER	-0.2	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oronde Gadsden	3/3	HOU @ LAC	REC	2.7	2.5	1.5	41	OVER	+0.2	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAR @ WSH	PASS TDS	2.0	1.8	1.5	41	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rashee Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYJ @ KC	REC YDS	47.0	59.9	55.2	40	UNDER	-12.9	-8.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Charlie Kolar	3/3	HOU @ LAC	REC YDS	25.7	15.2	15.3	40	OVER	+10.5	+10.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Geno Smith	3/3	NYJ @ KC	PASS ATT	30.7	23.9	32.2	40	FADE OVER	+6.8	-1.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Nix	3/3	DEN @ CAR	PASS ATT	29.3	25.0	32.8	40	FADE OVER	+4.3	-3.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Kittle	3/3	LV @ SF	REC	6.0	4.7	5.7	40	OVER	+1.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Puka Nacua	3/3	LAR @ WSH	REC	8.3	9.0	9.1	40	UNDER	-0.7	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Darnell Mooney	3/3	NYG @ PHI	REC	1.0	1.6	1.8	40	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyren Williams	3/3	LAR @ WSH	REC YDS	14.0	29.4	19.8	39	UNDER	-15.4	-5.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Maye	3/3	GB @ NE	RUSH YDS	18.3	31.8	25.7	39	UNDER	-13.5	-7.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Darren Waller	3/3	DEN @ CAR	REC YDS	20.3	31.5	29.1	39	UNDER	-11.2	-8.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bucky Irving	3/3	TB @ CHI	REC YDS	2.3	10.5	13.8	39	UNDER	-8.2	-11.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mitchell Evans	3/3	DEN @ CAR	REC YDS	20.3	13.7	7.5	39	OVER	+6.6	+12.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Darius Cooper	3/3	NYG @ PHI	REC YDS	15.0	21.7	27.4	39	UNDER	-6.7	-12.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Quentin Johnston	3/3	HOU @ LAC	REC YDS	46.0	43.2	30.2	39	OVER	+2.8	+15.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Malik Willis	3/3	DET @ MIA	PASS CMP	16.7	10.8	17.5	39	FADE OVER	+5.9	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chig Okonkwo	3/3	LAR @ WSH	REC	4.3	3.4	3.8	39	OVER	+0.9	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Gesicki	3/3	CIN @ ATL	REC	2.0	2.4	2.9	39	UNDER	-0.4	-0.9	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Mccaffrey	3/3	LV @ SF	REC	6.0	5.1	5.5	38	OVER	+0.9	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adam Prentice	3/3	DEN @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adam Trautman	3/3	DEN @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Sinnott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAR @ WSH	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Melton	3/3	GB @ NE	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady Russell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brevyn Spann-ford	3/3	DAL @ IND	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brock Wright ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brycen Tremayne	3/3	DEN @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cade Stover ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAC	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cameron Latu ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	GB @ NE	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Charlie Kolar	3/3	HOU @ LAC	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Charlie Woerner	3/3	CIN @ ATL	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Yankoff	3/3	LAR @ WSH	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corey Kiner	3/3	GB @ NE	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.0	0.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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