Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Oct 26 – Nov 8

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

656

NFL

Top Over

Jahmyr Gibbs

RUSH YDS • +41.5 • 100

Top Under

Shedeur Sanders

PASS YDS • -147.7 • 100

Top Fade

J.j. Mccarthy

PASS ATT • -13.4 • 94

Top 1

Shedeur Sanders

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -102.5 | Edge: -147.7

Top 2

Baker Mayfield

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -83.5 | Edge: -118.0

Top 3

Tyler Shough

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -89.4 | Edge: -55.8

Top 4

Matthew Stafford

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -86.5 | Edge: -57.2

Top 5

Jahmyr Gibbs

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +50.4 | Edge: +41.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Shedeur Sanders ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ NOP	PASS YDS	37.7	140.2	185.4	100	TOP UNDER	-102.5	-147.7	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
2	Baker Mayfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CHI	PASS YDS	93.7	177.2	211.7	100	TOP UNDER	-83.5	-118.0	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
3	Tyler Shough	3/3	CLE @ NOP	PASS YDS	172.7	262.1	228.5	100	TOP UNDER	-89.4	-55.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAR @ WSH	PASS YDS	191.3	277.8	248.5	100	TOP UNDER	-86.5	-57.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
5	Jahmyr Gibbs	3/3	DET @ MIA	RUSH YDS	140.0	89.6	98.5	100	TOP OVER	+50.4	+41.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Harold Fannin Jr.	3/3	CLE @ NOP	REC YDS	84.7	47.5	43.7	100	TOP OVER	+37.2	+41.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Chris Olave	3/3	CLE @ NOP	REC YDS	48.3	98.8	73.0	100	TOP UNDER	-50.5	-24.7	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bijan Robinson	3/3	CIN @ ATL	RUSH YDS	66.7	100.8	95.5	100	TOP UNDER	-34.1	-28.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Luther Burden Iii	3/3	TB @ CHI	REC YDS	93.7	61.3	64.5	100	TOP OVER	+32.4	+29.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cade Otton	3/3	TB @ CHI	REC YDS	1.3	31.3	30.5	100	TOP UNDER	-30.0	-29.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Caleb Williams	3/3	TB @ CHI	PASS CMP	25.3	11.2	21.1	100	TOP OVER	+14.1	+4.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jordan Love	3/3	GB @ NE	PASS ATT	42.3	31.2	37.9	100	TOP OVER	+11.1	+4.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	DET @ MIA	RUSH ATT	20.7	10.1	16.8	100	TOP OVER	+10.6	+3.9	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Saquon Barkley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ PHI	RUSH ATT	7.3	14.4	13.5	100	TOP UNDER	-7.1	-6.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bucky Irving	3/3	TB @ CHI	RUSH ATT	23.3	18.2	15.3	100	TOP OVER	+5.1	+8.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jahmyr Gibbs	3/3	DET @ MIA	RUSH ATT	25.7	20.0	20.5	100	TOP OVER	+5.7	+5.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	D'andre Swift	3/3	TB @ CHI	RUSH ATT	21.7	17.5	15.5	100	TOP OVER	+4.2	+6.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cade Otton	3/3	TB @ CHI	REC	0.3	3.0	3.5	100	TOP UNDER	-2.7	-3.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Joe Burrow	3/3	CIN @ ATL	PASS TDS	4.3	2.9	2.9	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Daniel Jones	3/3	DAL @ IND	INT	1.7	1.0	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Shedeur Sanders ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ NOP	INT	0.0	1.0	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jameson Williams	3/3	DET @ MIA	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.3	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Blake Corum	3/3	LAR @ WSH	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Christian Watson	3/3	GB @ NE	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Dallas Goedert	3/3	NYG @ PHI	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Omarion Hampton	3/3	HOU @ LAC	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bijan Robinson	3/3	CIN @ ATL	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Chase Brown	3/3	CIN @ ATL	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	D'andre Swift	3/3	TB @ CHI	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Harold Fannin Jr.	3/3	CLE @ NOP	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Geno Smith	3/3	NYJ @ KC	PASS YDS	276.3	229.0	213.8	99	TOP OVER	+47.3	+62.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Juwan Johnson	3/3	CLE @ NOP	REC YDS	7.7	50.0	25.6	99	TOP UNDER	-42.3	-17.9	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Drake London	3/3	CIN @ ATL	REC YDS	45.3	70.6	76.4	99	TOP UNDER	-25.3	-31.1	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jahan Dotson	3/3	CIN @ ATL	REC YDS	62.7	37.7	30.8	98	TOP OVER	+25.0	+31.9	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Devin Singletary ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ PHI	RUSH ATT	4.0	7.7	15.5	98	TOP UNDER	-3.7	-11.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bucky Irving	3/3	TB @ CHI	RUSH YDS	107.3	83.2	64.5	97	TOP OVER	+24.1	+42.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	DET @ MIA	RUSH YDS	86.7	41.6	70.0	97	TOP OVER	+45.1	+16.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Patrick Mahomes	3/3	NYJ @ KC	PASS ATT	34.7	23.2	31.0	95	TOP OVER	+11.5	+3.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	J.j. Mccarthy	3/3	NYG @ PHI	PASS ATT	16.3	4.9	29.7	94	FADE OVER	+11.4	-13.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Jordan Love	3/3	GB @ NE	PASS CMP	26.7	19.2	23.2	94	TOP OVER	+7.5	+3.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Caleb Williams	3/3	TB @ CHI	INT	0.0	0.7	0.5	94	TOP UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Saquon Barkley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYG @ PHI	RUSH YDS	33.3	65.8	53.7	93	TOP UNDER	-32.5	-20.4	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Ashton Jeanty	3/3	LV @ SF	RUSH ATT	6.7	15.0	8.5	92	TOP UNDER	-8.3	-1.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Amon-ra St. Brown	3/3	DET @ MIA	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bryce Young	3/3	DEN @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Christian Mccaffrey	3/3	LV @ SF	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.7	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Darius Cooper	3/3	NYG @ PHI	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Ja'marr Chase	3/3	CIN @ ATL	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.7	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jake Ferguson	3/3	DAL @ IND	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.3	0.5	92	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Mike Gesicki	3/3	CIN @ ATL	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.7	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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