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MLB Picks, Player Props, Projections & Edge Analysis

💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
⚾ MLB Scoreboard
← Sep 13 Sep 14 📅 Sep 15 →
Final
Dodgers
4
Reds
1
Great American Ball Park
Final
White Sox
7
Guardians
3
Progressive Field
Final
Tigers
6
Blue Jays
5
Rogers Centre
Final
Orioles
2
Mets
1
Citi Field
Final
Braves
3
Cubs
7
Wrigley Field
Final
Yankees
8
Twins
3
Target Field
Final
Giants
1
Cardinals
2
Busch Stadium
Final
Padres
8
Rockies
7
Coors Field
Final
Mariners
4
Angels
6
Angel Stadium
Final
Marlins
7
D-backs
8
Chase Field
📊 MLB Projection Matchups
10 games with data Full Matchups →
LAD @ CIN
Box Score →
LAD SP
Tarik Skubal (L)
Good · ERA 2.84
CIN SP
Nick Lodolo (L)
ERA 5.12
LAD
6.1
vs
CIN
3.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
LAD (Away)
H10.3 HR1.5 RBI4.8 R6.1 TB13.4 K7.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Tommy Edman 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Mookie Betts 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Will Smith 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Teoscar Hernandez 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Kyle Tucker 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3 –
TOTAL 10.3 1.5 4.8 6.1 13.4 7.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Tarik Skubal (L) Good 2.70 0.95 9.4 6.2 0.222 7.5
CIN (Home)
H7.5 HR1.1 RBI3.1 R3.7 TB8.8 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Elly De La Cruz 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Sal Stewart 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3 –
Dane Myers 0.9 – 0.2 0.4 – –
Eugenio Suarez 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.1 –
Tyler Stephenson 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 –
TOTAL 7.5 1.1 3.1 3.7 8.8 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Nick Lodolo (L) 5.12 – – – – 4.5
CWS @ CLE
Box Score →
CWS SP
Sean Newcomb (L)
ERA 2.77
CLE SP
Gavin Williams (R)
Average · ERA 3.78
CWS
3.6
vs
CLE
4.2
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CWS (Away)
H6.7 HR1.2 RBI3.0 R3.6 TB9.9 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Miguel Vargas 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Munetaka Murakami 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.1 –
Sam Antonacci 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 –
Kyle Teel 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 –
Colson Montgomery 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 –
TOTAL 6.7 1.2 3.0 3.6 9.9 –
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Sean Newcomb (L) 2.77 – – – –
CLE (Home)
H8.7 HR1.0 RBI3.6 R4.2 TB10.9 K7.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Angel Genao 0.8 – – – – –
Steven Kwan 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 –
Chase DeLauter 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Jose Ramirez 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 –
Jo Adell 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.7 1.0 3.6 4.2 10.9 7.7
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Gavin Williams (R) Average 3.63 1.08 12.1 5.8 0.210 7.7
DET @ TOR
Box Score →
DET SP
Troy Melton (R)
ERA 2.42
TOR SP
José Soriano (R)
Average · ERA 3.48
DET
4.6
vs
TOR
4.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
DET (Away)
H8.9 HR1.0 RBI3.8 R4.6 TB11.1 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kevin McGonigle 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
Riley Greene 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 –
Gleyber Torres 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Hao-Yu Lee 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Dillon Dingler 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.9 1.0 3.8 4.6 11.1 3.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Troy Melton (R) 2.42 – – – – 3.5
TOR (Home)
H8.6 HR1.1 RBI3.7 R4.4 TB11.5 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
George Springer 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Brett Bateman 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 –
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 –
Kazuma Okamoto 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Alejandro Kirk 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.6 1.1 3.7 4.4 11.5 5.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
José Soriano (R) Average 3.72 1.26 8.6 5.6 0.229 5.5
BAL @ NYM
Box Score →
BAL SP
Brandon Young (R)
ERA 3.71
NYM SP
Jonah Tong (R)
ERA 4.80
BAL
4.3
vs
NYM
4.9
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
BAL (Away)
H7.5 HR1.6 RBI3.6 R4.3 TB11.3 K3.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Pete Alonso 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Dylan Beavers 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Gunnar Henderson 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Coby Mayo 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 –
Samuel Basallo 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 7.5 1.6 3.6 4.3 11.3 3.7
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Brandon Young (R) 3.71 – – – – 3.7
NYM (Home)
H8.8 HR1.6 RBI4.1 R4.9 TB12.4 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Juan Soto 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Francisco Lindor 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 –
Carson Benge 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Bo Bichette 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Francisco Alvarez 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 –
TOTAL 8.8 1.6 4.1 4.9 12.4 5.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Jonah Tong (R) 4.80 – – – – 5.5
ATL @ CHC
Box Score →
ATL SP
Reynaldo López (R)
Average · ERA 4.13
CHC SP
David Peterson (L)
Weak · ERA 5.28
ATL
5.4
vs
CHC
5.3
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
ATL (Away)
H10.1 HR1.4 RBI4.7 R5.4 TB12.6 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ronald Acuna Jr. 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Matt Olson 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Drake Baldwin 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Ozzie Albies 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
Austin Riley 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 –
TOTAL 10.1 1.4 4.7 5.4 12.6 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Reynaldo López (R) Average 2.18 1.11 8.3 5.1 0.203 4.5
CHC (Home)
H8.7 HR1.6 RBI4.3 R5.3 TB12.4 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.9 –
Seiya Suzuki 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Michael Busch 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Alex Bregman 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
Ian Happ 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.7 1.6 4.3 5.3 12.4 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
David Peterson (L) Weak 5.06 1.65 8.1 6.6 0.308 4.5
NYY @ MIN
Box Score →
NYY SP
Will Warren (R)
Weak · ERA 4.05
MIN SP
Dean Kremer (R)
ERA 5.65
NYY
4.7
vs
MIN
5.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
NYY (Away)
H8.3 HR1.4 RBI3.9 R4.7 TB11.9 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ben Rice 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Aaron Judge 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5 –
Cody Bellinger 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
Luis Garcia Jr. 1.1 – 0.5 0.5 1.5 –
Spencer Jones 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.3 1.4 3.9 4.7 11.9 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Will Warren (R) Weak 4.15 1.37 9.1 5.2 0.263 4.5
MIN (Home)
H10.5 HR1.2 RBI4.7 R5.5 TB11.5 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Luke Keaschall 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
Kody Clemens 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 –
Brooks Lee 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Ryan Jeffers 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Josh Bell 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 10.5 1.2 4.7 5.5 11.5 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Dean Kremer (R) 5.65 – – – – 4.5
SF @ STL
Box Score →
SF SP
Landen Roupp (R)
Weak · ERA 4.00
STL SP
Quinn Mathews (L)
ERA 4.11
SF
4.4
vs
STL
4.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SF (Away)
H8.7 HR0.9 RBI3.7 R4.4 TB10.9 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jonah Cox 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Bryce Eldridge 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Shay Whitcomb 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Osleivis Basabe 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 –
Turner Hill 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.1 –
TOTAL 8.7 0.9 3.7 4.4 10.9 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Landen Roupp (R) Weak 4.01 1.30 8.3 5.3 0.220 4.5
STL (Home)
H8.5 HR0.9 RBI3.7 R4.5 TB10.1 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ivan Herrera 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 –
Alec Burleson 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
Bryan Torres 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2 –
Jordan Walker 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 –
Leonardo Bernal 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.5 0.9 3.7 4.5 10.1 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Quinn Mathews (L) 4.11 – – – – 4.5
SD @ COL
Box Score →
SD SP
Casey Mize (R)
Average · ERA 3.70
COL SP
Tomoyuki Sugano (R)
Weak · ERA 5.30
SD
6.6
vs
COL
5.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SD (Away)
H11.8 HR1.6 RBI5.3 R6.6 TB16.0 K3.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.8 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.4 –
Manny Machado 1.4 0.3 0.7 0.8 2.0 –
Jackson Merrill 1.4 0.3 0.7 0.8 2.0 –
Luis Campusano 1.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.8 –
Xander Bogaerts 1.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.8 –
TOTAL 11.8 1.6 5.3 6.6 16.0 3.6
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Casey Mize (R) Average 2.51 1.15 10.1 5.6 0.221 3.6
COL (Home)
H8.9 HR1.4 RBI4.0 R5.0 TB11.9 K3.4
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Hunter Goodman 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.8 –
Jake McCarthy 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 –
Cole Carrigg 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
Mickey Moniak 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
TJ Rumfield 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
TOTAL 8.9 1.4 4.0 5.0 11.9 3.4
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Tomoyuki Sugano (R) Weak 4.02 1.26 4.8 5.2 0.254 3.4
SEA @ LAA
Box Score →
SEA SP
Kade Anderson (L)
ERA 4.29
LAA SP
Reid Detmers (L)
Average · ERA 3.32
SEA
4.4
vs
LAA
4.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SEA (Away)
H8.0 HR1.4 RBI3.6 R4.4 TB11.3 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Randy Arozarena 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4 –
Cal Raleigh 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.3 –
Julio Rodriguez 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
J.P. Crawford 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 –
Dominic Canzone 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.0 1.4 3.6 4.4 11.3 5.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Kade Anderson (L) 4.29 – – – – 5.5
LAA (Home)
H8.4 HR1.1 RBI3.4 R4.1 TB10.9 K6.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Travis d'Arnaud 0.7 – – – 1.0 –
Zach Neto 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.5 –
Mike Trout 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
Jose Siri 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 –
Christian Moore 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 –
TOTAL 8.4 1.1 3.4 4.1 10.9 6.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Reid Detmers (L) Average 3.47 1.05 10.3 5.8 0.216 6.5
MIA @ AZ
Box Score →
MIA SP
Sandy Alcantara (R)
Average · ERA 3.78
AZ SP
Corbin Burnes (R)
ERA 0.00
MIA
4.6
vs
AZ
5.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIA (Away)
H8.9 HR1.1 RBI3.9 R4.6 TB11.4 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kyle Stowers 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
Heriberto Hernandez 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 –
Griffin Conine 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
Otto Lopez 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.5 –
Xavier Edwards 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 8.9 1.1 3.9 4.6 11.4 3.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Sandy Alcantara (R) Average 3.91 1.24 6.5 6.4 0.249 3.5
AZ (Home)
H9.5 HR1.2 RBI4.2 R5.0 TB11.7 K3.9
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Lars Nootbaar 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 –
Ketel Marte 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
Corbin Carroll 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 –
Gabriel Moreno 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Geraldo Perdomo 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 9.5 1.2 4.2 5.0 11.7 3.9
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Corbin Burnes (R) 0.00 – – – – 3.9
🏆 Top Performers Sep 14
Hits
4
3
3
3
3
Home Runs
1
1
1
1
1
RBIs
4
3
3
3
3
Runs
2
2
2
2
2
Stolen Bases
2
1
1
1
1
Strikeouts
9
8
8
7
7
Plays: 💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
About PlayTakers MLB

MLB research on PlayTakers is built around the starting-pitcher matchup and the batter props it creates — hits, total bases, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks and pitcher strikeouts. Projections update daily once lineups post, pitcher rankings highlight the best and worst matchups of the slate, and the bet log tracks every graded pick so you can see exactly how the model is performing over time.

MLB — Frequently Asked Questions
▸What MLB props does PlayTakers project?

MLB coverage includes batter hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, home runs, walks and stolen bases, plus pitcher strikeouts and outs. You can view all props by game on the MLB Projections page and compare lines across books.

▸How do starter matchups factor in?

MLB projections lean heavily on the starting pitcher: handedness, recent command and workload, plus park factors. Each batter's projection adjusts for that specific matchup before we compare to the sportsbook line.

▸Where can I see MLB pitcher rankings?

The Pitcher Rankings page groups starters by strikeout upside, run-prevention and recent form so you can quickly spot spots to attack or avoid. It updates daily alongside the MLB projections.

▸When are picks posted each day?

Picks are posted in the morning once the opening lines are up and refreshed through the afternoon as lineups, injuries and odds move. You can always find the latest picks on the Strong Plays and Top Plays pages, and recent graded picks show up on the home page.

▸How do you calculate edge on a player prop?

Edge compares our projection for a player's stat line to the sportsbook total on the same prop, then converts the gap to an implied percentage edge relative to the fair price. Projections blend recent form, season averages, matchup context and pace or game-script signals per sport.