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MLB Picks, Player Props, Projections & Edge Analysis

💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
📊 MLB Projection Matchups
15 games with data Full Matchups →
LAD @ CIN
Box Score →
LAD
5.7
vs
CIN
3.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
LAD (Away)
H9.4 HR1.7 RBI4.5 R5.7 TB13.3 K7.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Tommy Edman 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8
Freddie Freeman 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5
Max Muncy 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.4
Mookie Betts 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.8
Will Smith 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.5
TOTAL 9.4 1.7 4.5 5.7 13.3 7.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7.5
CIN (Home)
H7.1 HR1.1 RBI3.0 R3.6 TB9.3 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Elly De La Cruz 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Sal Stewart 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3
Hector Rodriguez 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2
JJ Bleday 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
Eugenio Suarez 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.1 1.1 3.0 3.6 9.3 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Rhett Lowder 3.5
ATH @ TB
Box Score →
ATH
4.0
vs
TB
5.2
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
ATH (Away)
H8.2 HR1.1 RBI3.4 R4.0 TB10.5 K4.4
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Shea Langeliers 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Henry Bolte 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2
Lawrence Butler 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
Jeff McNeil 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.3
Zack Gelof 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 8.2 1.1 3.4 4.0 10.5 4.4
Pitching
PitcherK
Jack Perkins 4.4
TB (Home)
H8.9 HR1.3 RBI4.2 R5.2 TB12.2 K5.4
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Yandy Diaz 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.6
Junior Caminero 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.8
Jonathan Aranda 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4
Victor Mesa Jr. 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Liam Hicks 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 8.9 1.3 4.2 5.2 12.2 5.4
Pitching
PitcherK
Griffin Jax 5.4
CWS @ CLE
Box Score →
CWS
4.8
vs
CLE
5.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CWS (Away)
H8.8 HR1.4 RBI3.9 R4.8 TB12.4 K2.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Munetaka Murakami 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2
Miguel Vargas 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Chase Meidroth 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Randal Grichuk 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Colson Montgomery 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 8.8 1.4 3.9 4.8 12.4 2.7
Pitching
PitcherK
Davis Martin 2.7
CLE (Home)
H10.7 HR1.3 RBI4.8 R5.7 TB12.0 K4.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Chase DeLauter 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5
Steven Kwan 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Jose Ramirez 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Jo Adell 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.4
Travis Bazzana 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 10.7 1.3 4.8 5.7 12.0 4.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Foster Griffin 4.6
MIL @ PIT
Box Score →
MIL
5.1
vs
PIT
3.3
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIL (Away)
H8.9 HR1.0 RBI4.1 R5.1 TB10.9 K8.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jackson Chourio 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8
Brice Turang 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4
Jake Bauers 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3
William Contreras 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4
Christian Yelich 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.3
TOTAL 8.9 1.0 4.1 5.1 10.9 8.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Jacob Misiorowski 8.5
PIT (Home)
H6.8 HR1.0 RBI2.8 R3.3 TB9.6 K2.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Oneil Cruz 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1
Brandon Lowe 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1
Konnor Griffin 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1
Bryan Reynolds 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1
Ryan O'Hearn 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1
TOTAL 6.8 1.0 2.8 3.3 9.6 2.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Lake Bachar 2.5
PHI @ WSH
Box Score →
PHI
5.3
vs
WSH
3.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
PHI (Away)
H9.3 HR1.3 RBI4.3 R5.3 TB12.3 K6.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kyle Schwarber 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4
Trea Turner 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5
Bryce Harper 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Alec Bohm 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4
Luis Arraez 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.5
TOTAL 9.3 1.3 4.3 5.3 12.3 6.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Cristopher Sanchez 6.5
WSH (Home)
H7.5 HR1.0 RBI3.0 R3.6 TB10.3 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
James Wood 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Dylan Crews 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Andrés Chaparro 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
Brady House 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
CJ Abrams 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.5 1.0 3.0 3.6 10.3 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Jackson Kent 3.5
DET @ TOR
Box Score →
DET
5.1
vs
TOR
4.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
DET (Away)
H9.3 HR1.1 RBI4.3 R5.1 TB10.9 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kevin McGonigle 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Gleyber Torres 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Riley Greene 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Dillon Dingler 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Spencer Torkelson 0.8 0.3 0.5
TOTAL 9.3 1.1 4.3 5.1 10.9 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Drew Anderson 3.5
TOR (Home)
H8.8 HR1.1 RBI3.8 R4.7 TB11.6 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
George Springer 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4
Brett Bateman 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Kazuma Okamoto 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3
Alejandro Kirk 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.8 1.1 3.8 4.7 11.6
BAL @ NYM
Box Score →
BAL
4.1
vs
NYM
5.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
BAL (Away)
H7.6 HR1.5 RBI3.4 R4.1 TB11.2 K4.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Pete Alonso 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5
Jackson Holliday 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3
Coby Mayo 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.4
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Gunnar Henderson 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 7.6 1.5 3.4 4.1 11.2 4.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Shane Baz 4.6
NYM (Home)
H8.8 HR1.2 RBI4.0 R5.0 TB11.3 K6.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Juan Soto 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5
Francisco Lindor 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4
Carson Benge 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Bo Bichette 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Jared Young 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
TOTAL 8.8 1.2 4.0 5.0 11.3 6.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Sean Manaea 6.5
ATL @ CHC
Box Score →
ATL
5.4
vs
CHC
5.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
ATL (Away)
H10.0 HR1.7 RBI4.6 R5.4 TB13.2 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ronald Acuna Jr. 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Matt Olson 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Elieser Hernández 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.5
Drake Baldwin 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Michael Harris II 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.5
TOTAL 10.0 1.7 4.6 5.4 13.2 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Martin Perez 3.5
CHC (Home)
H9.6 HR1.0 RBI4.3 R5.4 TB10.8 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5
Seiya Suzuki 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4
Alex Bregman 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Michael Busch 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Tyrone Taylor 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 9.6 1.0 4.3 5.4 10.8 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Kevin Gausman 5.5
NYY @ MIN
Box Score →
NYY
4.9
vs
MIN
3.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
NYY (Away)
H8.5 HR1.7 RBI4.1 R4.9 TB12.5 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ben Rice 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.8
Aaron Judge 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5
Cody Bellinger 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Luis Garcia Jr. 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.6
Spencer Jones 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.5 1.7 4.1 4.9 12.5 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Fried 4.5
MIN (Home)
H7.6 HR0.8 RBI3.1 R3.7 TB8.3 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Luke Keaschall 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3
Ryan Jeffers 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
Kody Clemens 0.9 0.4 0.4
Josh Bell 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
Kaelen Culpepper 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.6 0.8 3.1 3.7 8.3 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Bailey Ober 4.5
SF @ STL
Box Score →
SF
4.4
vs
STL
5.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SF (Away)
H9.2 HR0.8 RBI3.7 R4.4 TB10.9 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Bryce Eldridge 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Drew Gilbert 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3
Jung Hoo Lee 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Jonah Cox 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Turner Hill 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 9.2 0.8 3.7 4.4 10.9 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Blade Tidwell 3.5
STL (Home)
H9.7 HR1.3 RBI4.4 R5.4 TB12.0 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ivan Herrera 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4
Alec Burleson 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.8
Bryan Torres 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3
Jordan Walker 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Leonardo Bernal 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4
TOTAL 9.7 1.3 4.4 5.4 12.0 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Andre Pallante 3.5
BOS @ TEX
Box Score →
BOS
4.6
vs
TEX
4.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
BOS (Away)
H8.5 HR1.5 RBI3.8 R4.6 TB11.9 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Roman Anthony 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Willson Contreras 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Wilyer Abreu 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Jahmai Jones 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Adley Rutschman 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.5 1.5 3.8 4.6 11.9 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Patrick Sandoval 5.5
TEX (Home)
H8.5 HR1.2 RBI3.9 R4.6 TB11.0 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Corey Seager 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Wyatt Langford 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2
Jake Burger 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Ezequiel Duran 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Josh Jung 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.5 1.2 3.9 4.6 11.0
KC @ HOU
Box Score →
KC
4.0
vs
HOU
5.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
KC (Away)
H7.6 HR1.2 RBI3.4 R4.0 TB10.8 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Carter Jensen 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Jac Caglianone 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
Salvador Perez 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3
TOTAL 7.6 1.2 3.4 4.0 10.8 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Michael Wacha 4.5
HOU (Home)
H9.2 HR1.7 RBI4.3 R5.1 TB13.2 K5.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Yordan Alvarez 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.8
Jeremy Pena 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Isaac Paredes 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Jose Altuve 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.4
Christian Walker 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 9.2 1.7 4.3 5.1 13.2 5.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Hunter Brown 5.6
SD @ COL
Box Score →
SD
6.8
vs
COL
5.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SD (Away)
H11.7 HR1.3 RBI5.4 R6.8 TB15.8 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.6 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.3
Manny Machado 1.4 0.3 0.7 0.9 2.0
Jackson Merrill 1.4 0.2 0.7 0.8 2.0
Xander Bogaerts 1.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.8
Ty France 1.4 0.6 0.8 1.8
TOTAL 11.7 1.3 5.4 6.8 15.8 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Walker Buehler 3.5
COL (Home)
H10.4 HR1.3 RBI4.7 R5.7 TB13.1 K2.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Hunter Goodman 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.8
Jake McCarthy 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6
Connor Norby 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
TJ Rumfield 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4
Cole Carrigg 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4
TOTAL 10.4 1.3 4.7 5.7 13.1 2.7
Pitching
PitcherK
Kyle Freeland 2.7
SEA @ LAA
Box Score →
SEA
5.1
vs
LAA
3.9
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SEA (Away)
H8.7 HR1.5 RBI4.1 R5.1 TB12.1 K6.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Cal Raleigh 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.4
Randy Arozarena 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5
J.P. Crawford 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3
Dominic Canzone 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Julio Rodriguez 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
TOTAL 8.7 1.5 4.1 5.1 12.1 6.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Logan Gilbert 6.5
LAA (Home)
H8.0 HR1.0 RBI3.2 R3.9 TB9.3 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Adam Frazier 0.7 1.0
Zach Neto 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Mike Trout 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3
Vaughn Grissom 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
Christian Moore 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1
TOTAL 8.0 1.0 3.2 3.9 9.3 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Ryan Johnson 4.5
MIA @ AZ
Box Score →
MIA
4.3
vs
AZ
4.9
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIA (Away)
H8.5 HR1.0 RBI3.6 R4.3 TB10.8 K2.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kyle Stowers 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Heriberto Hernandez 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Griffin Conine 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Otto Lopez 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Xavier Edwards 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.5 1.0 3.6 4.3 10.8 2.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Janson Junk 2.6
AZ (Home)
H9.0 HR1.2 RBI4.1 R4.9 TB12.2 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Lars Nootbaar 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5
Ketel Marte 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Corbin Carroll 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.5
Gabriel Moreno 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5
Geraldo Perdomo 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 9.0 1.2 4.1 4.9 12.2 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Michael Soroka 4.5
🏆 Top Performers Sep 15
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About PlayTakers MLB

MLB research on PlayTakers is built around the starting-pitcher matchup and the batter props it creates — hits, total bases, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks and pitcher strikeouts. Projections update daily once lineups post, pitcher rankings highlight the best and worst matchups of the slate, and the bet log tracks every graded pick so you can see exactly how the model is performing over time.

MLB — Frequently Asked Questions
What MLB props does PlayTakers project?

MLB coverage includes batter hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, home runs, walks and stolen bases, plus pitcher strikeouts and outs. You can view all props by game on the MLB Projections page and compare lines across books.

How do starter matchups factor in?

MLB projections lean heavily on the starting pitcher: handedness, recent command and workload, plus park factors. Each batter's projection adjusts for that specific matchup before we compare to the sportsbook line.

Where can I see MLB pitcher rankings?

The Pitcher Rankings page groups starters by strikeout upside, run-prevention and recent form so you can quickly spot spots to attack or avoid. It updates daily alongside the MLB projections.

When are picks posted each day?

Picks are posted in the morning once the opening lines are up and refreshed through the afternoon as lineups, injuries and odds move. You can always find the latest picks on the Strong Plays and Top Plays pages, and recent graded picks show up on the home page.

How do you calculate edge on a player prop?

Edge compares our projection for a player's stat line to the sportsbook total on the same prop, then converts the gap to an implied percentage edge relative to the fair price. Projections blend recent form, season averages, matchup context and pace or game-script signals per sport.