Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 | MLB | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | H | 1.5 | +230 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.8 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 252 | NFL | Kenneth Walker III 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | -110 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.8 | 44 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 253 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 1.5 | +300 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 44 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 254 | MLB | Christian Koss 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 1.5 | +360 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | -0.1 | 44 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 255 | MLB | Cody Bellinger 10 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | H | 1.5 | +230 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | +0 | 44 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 256 | MLB | Dylan Beavers 10 games | BAL vs BAL@NYM | H | 1.5 | +320 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 44 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 257 | MLB | Elly De La Cruz 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | H | 1.5 | +360 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 44 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 258 | MLB | Jordan Lawlar 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | H | 0.5 | -122 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 44 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 259 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | H | 1.5 | +320 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 44 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 260 | MLB | Ryan McMahon 10 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -135 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 44 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 261 | MLB | Tristan Peters 10 games | CWS vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -125 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 44 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 262 | MLB | A.J. Ewing 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | -0.6 | 43 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 263 | MLB | Dustin Harris 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -300 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 43 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 264 | MLB | Jake Cronenworth 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -250 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 43 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 265 | MLB | Josue De Paula 3 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +253 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/3 | +0 | 43 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 266 | MLB | Nathan Lukes 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.6 | 43 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 267 | MLB | Pedro Ramirez 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -158 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 43 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 268 | MLB | Teoscar Hernandez 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | -216 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | -0.8 | 43 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 269 | MLB | Zach Neto 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | -0.8 | 43 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 270 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN | PASS TDS | 1.50 | +145 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0 | 42 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 271 | MLB | A.J. Ewing 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | RBI | 0.5 | +258 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 272 | MLB | Brayan Rocchio 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +-0 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 273 | MLB | Carson Benge 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | RBI | 0.5 | +190 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 274 | MLB | Carson Kelly 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +202 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 275 | MLB | Colt Keith 10 games | DET vs DET@TOR | RBI | 0.5 | +265 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 276 | MLB | Dane Myers 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +360 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 277 | MLB | Dominic Canzone 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | RBI | 0.5 | +213 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 278 | MLB | Emmanuel Rodriguez 2 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +280 | 0.5 | +0 | 1/2 | +0 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 279 | MLB | Gabriel Moreno 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +200 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 280 | MLB | Ha-Seong Kim 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +278 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 281 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 1.5 | +130 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 42 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 282 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | HR | 0.5 | +325 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 283 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs SDP@COL | RBI | 0.5 | +207 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +-0 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 284 | MLB | Jakob Marsee 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +236 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 285 | MLB | Jo Adell 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +168 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 286 | MLB | Jose Siri 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 287 | MLB | Jose Siri 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | RBI | 0.5 | +219 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 288 | MLB | Juan Brito 8 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +393 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 289 | MLB | Juan Soto 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | RBI | 0.5 | +183 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 290 | MLB | Julio Rodriguez 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | RBI | 0.5 | +191 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 291 | MLB | Luis Garcia Jr. 10 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +165 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 292 | MLB | Manny Machado 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | RBI | 0.5 | +105 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 293 | MLB | Michael Conforto 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +210 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 294 | MLB | Michael Harris II 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | +1.4 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 295 | MLB | Miguel Rojas 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 296 | MLB | Miguel Vargas 10 games | CWS vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 297 | MLB | Nathaniel Lowe 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +233 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 298 | MLB | Spencer Jones 10 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +200 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 299 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | H | 1.5 | +240 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 300 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +244 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.