Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 | MLB | Mauricio Dubon 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 1.5 | +700 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 1/5 | +0.5 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 452 | MLB | Max Clark 10 games | DET vs DET@TOR | H | 1.5 | +320 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.6 | 35 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 453 | MLB | Michael Busch 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 1.5 | +550 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.5 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 454 | MLB | Michael Harris II 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 1.5 | +600 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 1/5 | +0.7 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 455 | MLB | Nathaniel Lowe 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -137 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.1 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 456 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 1.5 | +550 | 1 | -0.5 | 1/5 | +0.5 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 457 | MLB | Pedro Ramirez 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | H | 1.5 | +340 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 1/5 | +0.5 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 458 | MLB | Samuel Basallo 10 games | BAL vs BAL@NYM | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 459 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | RBI | 1.5 | +1000 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 1/5 | +0.7 | 35 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 460 | MLB | Weston Wilson 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | H | 1.5 | +500 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +1.1 | 35 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 461 | MLB | Xander Bogaerts 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 1.5 | +165 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.6 | 35 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 462 | NFL | J.K. Dobbins 9 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 4.50 | -113 | 2.8 | -1.7 | 2/5 | +1.4 | 34 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 463 | NFL | RJ Harvey 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +325 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -0.6 | 34 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 464 | MLB | A.J. Ewing 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | H | 1.5 | +380 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 2/5 | -0.6 | 34 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 465 | MLB | Andrew Benintendi 10 games | CWS vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -116 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 34 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 466 | MLB | Andrew Knizner 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -120 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 34 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 467 | MLB | Joe Mack 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +250 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 1/5 | -0.7 | 34 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 468 | MLB | Sean Murphy 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -115 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 34 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 469 | MLB | Zac Veen 10 games | COL vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -117 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -0.2 | 34 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 470 | MLB | Zach Neto 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | H | 1.5 | +260 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -0.8 | 34 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 471 | MLB | Aaron Judge 5 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 472 | MLB | Brooks Lee 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -215 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 473 | MLB | Carson Benge 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | H | 0.5 | -180 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 33 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 474 | MLB | Christian Encarnacion-Strand 10 games | BAL vs BAL@NYM | H | 0.5 | -151 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 475 | MLB | Christian Moore 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -160 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.1 | 33 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 476 | MLB | Cole Carrigg 10 games | COL vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -216 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 33 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 477 | MLB | Jung Hoo Lee 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -190 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 478 | MLB | Lars Nootbaar 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | H | 0.5 | -220 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +-0 | 33 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 479 | MLB | Manny Machado 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -400 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.5 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 480 | MLB | Masyn Winn 10 games | STL vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -160 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 33 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 481 | MLB | Mickey Moniak 10 games | COL vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -220 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.2 | 33 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 482 | MLB | Ryan Jeffers 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -180 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.1 | 33 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 483 | MLB | Seiya Suzuki 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -220 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 484 | MLB | Vaughn Grissom 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 33 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 485 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +550 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 486 | NFL | Brashard Smith 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1000 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 487 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +220 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.3 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 488 | NFL | Marvin Mims Jr. 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +700 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 489 | NFL | Nate Adkins 7 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +2200 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 490 | NFL | Patrick Mahomes 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +650 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0 | 32 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 491 | NFL | Patrick Mahomes 10 games | vs DEN | PASS TDS | 1.50 | +122 | 1 | -0.5 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 492 | NFL | Rashee Rice 8 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +185 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 493 | NFL | Troy Franklin 10 games | vs DEN | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1300 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.4 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 494 | MLB | A.J. Ewing 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | HR | 0.5 | +900 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 495 | MLB | Aaron Judge 5 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | H | 1.5 | +240 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 1/5 | -0.3 | 32 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 496 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs SFG@STL | H | 1.5 | +220 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 1/5 | +0 | 32 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 497 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | RBI | 1.5 | +500 | 1 | -0.5 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 498 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | HR | 0.5 | +475 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 499 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +157 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | +0.4 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 500 | MLB | Andres Gimenez 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | H | 1.5 | +360 | 1 | -0.5 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.