Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | NFL | Courtland Sutton 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 36.50 | -150 | 40.2 | +3.7 | 3/5 | -27.1 | 59 | D | 11.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 102 | MLB | Julio Rodriguez 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -185 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 59 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 103 | NFL | Adam Trautman 10 games | vs DEN | REC | 0.50 | -230 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 58 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 104 | MLB | Eugenio Suarez 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +297 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 105 | MLB | Graham Pauley 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +306 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +1 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 106 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -450 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 107 | MLB | Luis Garcia Jr. 10 games | NYY vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -228 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 108 | MLB | Matt Olson 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +157 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 109 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +196 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 110 | MLB | Otto Lopez 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | H | 1.5 | +190 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 111 | MLB | Scott Bandura 1 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 112 | MLB | Graham Pauley 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | H | 0.5 | -107 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 57 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 113 | MLB | Travis Bazzana 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 57 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 114 | NFL | Evan Engram 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 22.50 | -113 | 25.6 | +3.1 | 2/5 | -3.5 | 56 | D | 43.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 115 | MLB | Adael Amador 10 games | COL vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -164 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | -0.2 | 56 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 116 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 56 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 117 | MLB | Kody Clemens 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -187 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 118 | MLB | Shay Whitcomb 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -135 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 56 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 119 | NFL | Adam Trautman 10 games | vs DEN | REC | 1.50 | +205 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 55 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 120 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN | PASS YDS | 249.50 | +140 | 251.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | -40 | 55 | D | 131.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 121 | NFL | Noah Gray 10 games | vs DEN | REC | 1.50 | +140 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 55 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 122 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | RBI | 0.5 | +167 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 123 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 124 | MLB | Brayan Rocchio 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +299 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 125 | MLB | Eugenio Suarez 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | +104 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 126 | MLB | Gunnar Henderson 10 games | BAL vs BAL@NYM | H | 0.5 | -166 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 127 | MLB | Juan Brito 8 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | +100 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 128 | MLB | Ketel Marte 10 games | AZ vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +175 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 129 | MLB | Kevin McGonigle 10 games | DET vs DET@TOR | RBI | 0.5 | +228 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 130 | MLB | Leonardo Bernal 10 games | vs SFG@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +200 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 131 | MLB | Mauricio Dubon 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 55 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 132 | MLB | Max Clark 10 games | DET vs DET@TOR | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 133 | MLB | Michael Busch 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -177 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 134 | MLB | Nico Hoerner 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +213 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 135 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs BAL@NYM | RBI | 0.5 | +168 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 136 | MLB | Randy Arozarena 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 55 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 137 | MLB | Ronald Acuna Jr. 10 games | ATL vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -260 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 138 | MLB | Sal Stewart 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | -161 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 139 | MLB | Travis Bazzana 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +243 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 140 | MLB | Trevor Larnach 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 55 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 141 | MLB | Zach Neto 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | RBI | 0.5 | +201 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | -0.4 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 142 | NFL | Xavier Worthy 10 games | vs DEN | RUSH YDS | 0.50 | +130 | 2.8 | +2.3 | 2/5 | -3.1 | 54 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 143 | MLB | Andres Gimenez 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 144 | MLB | Christian Koss 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -137 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 54 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 145 | MLB | Elly De La Cruz 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.5 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 146 | MLB | Joe Mack 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | H | 0.5 | -105 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.4 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 147 | MLB | Kazuma Okamoto 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | H | 0.5 | -143 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 148 | MLB | Marcus Semien 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 149 | NFL | Xavier Worthy 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 36.50 | -111 | 38.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | -13.4 | 52 | F | 18.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 150 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.