Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Apr 22 – May 21 →

Wins

Losses

206

Push

Win %

30.9%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

170

Total Found

Shown

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ketel Marte ELITE	3/3	COL @ ARI	2B	Zach Agnos S vs RHP ERA 5.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	131.8	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	18.2%	81.8%	0	COL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
2	Juan Soto ELITE	3/3	NYM @ WSH	LF	Cade Cavalli LHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	0	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
3	Xavier Edwards	3/3	ATL @ MIA		Spencer Strider S vs RHP ERA 2.45	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	ATL @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L
4	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ WSH	3B	Cade Cavalli RHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 4.05	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
5	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ STL	LF	Dustin May S vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	PIT @ STL 1:15 PM ET Final L
6	Josh Lowe	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RF	Luis Severino LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 4.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ATH @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10 L
7	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ WSH	3B	Cade Cavalli RHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 4.05	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 4, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	2	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final W
8	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ MIA	DH	Sandy Alcantara LHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.53	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	ATL @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final
9	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ WSH		David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.40	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final
10	Mauricio Dubon ELITE	3/3	ATL @ MIA	SS	Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.53	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	ATL @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final W
11	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ WSH	LF	Cade Cavalli LHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 4.05	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
12	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ WSH	LF	Cade Cavalli LHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 4.05	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
13	Joey Bart ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ STL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.81	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	4, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	N/A	PIT @ STL 1:15 PM ET Final
14	Ketel Marte	3/3	COL @ ARI	2B	Zach Agnos S vs RHP ERA 5.59	Home Runs	0.5	+400	80.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	COL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
15	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TOR @ NYY	PH	Braydon Fisher LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	TOR @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
16	Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	COL @ ARI		Zach Agnos RHB vs RHP ERA 5.59	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	COL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
17	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ DET	2B	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.43	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	CLE @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
18	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	PIT @ STL	2B	Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	PIT @ STL 1:15 PM ET Final L
19	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH		David Peterson S vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	2	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final W
20	Riley Greene	3/3	CLE @ DET	DH	Joey Cantillo LHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.40	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	CLE @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
21	Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ ARI	1B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	COL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
22	CJ Abrams	3/3	NYM @ WSH		David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
23	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ DET		Casey Mize RHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.43	Runs Batted In	0.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	CLE @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
24	James Wood	3/3	NYM @ WSH		David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	NYM @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
25	Otto Lopez	3/3	ATL @ MIA	SS	Spencer Strider RHB vs RHP ERA 2.45	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	ATL @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 96 plays

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