Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

275

Total Found

147

Shown

147

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ CWS		TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
27	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final L
28	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ CLE		Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.83	Runs Batted In	0.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	WSH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final
29	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	TB @ BAL		Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 2.82	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/13 L
30	Ketel Marte	3/3	ARI @ SF	2B	Landen Roupp S vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.27	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	4	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final W
31	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ KC	CF	Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	NYY @ KC 3:40 PM ET Final L
32	Ty France	3/3	PHI @ SD	1B	Jesús Luzardo RHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 4.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+251	71.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	28.5%	38.2%	0	PHI @ SD 6:40 PM ET Final L
33	Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ CWS	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
34	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
35	Maikel Garcia	3/3	NYY @ KC	3B	Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 3.61	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	NYY @ KC 3:40 PM ET Final L
36	Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT		Ben Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 2.09	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	69.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	CHC @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
37	Nick Kurtz	3/3	SEA @ OAK		Luis Castillo LHB vs RHP ERA 6.41	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	SEA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
38	Victor Caratini	3/3	MIN @ CWS	C	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	69.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
39	William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	C	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.70	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	1, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	STL @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
40	Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ TOR	LF	Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 1.07	Runs Batted In	0.5	+218	68.6	4, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.4%	35.2%	N/A	MIA @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final
41	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ BAL	DH	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	1	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/13 L
42	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ OAK	CF	Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+170	63.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	37.0%	29.6%	1	SEA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
43	Luis Arraez	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Hits	1.5	+160	61.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	38.5%	28.2%	1	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final L
44	Colton Cowser	3/3	TB @ BAL		Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 2.82	Hits	0.5	+100	50.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	50.0%	16.7%	1	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/13 W
45	Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ BAL		Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.13	Hits	0.5	-110	47.6	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	52.4%	14.3%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/13 L
46	Tim Tawa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SF	1B	Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.27	Hits	0.5	-110	47.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	52.4%	14.3%	N/A	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final
47	Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ TOR		Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 1.07	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	N/A	MIA @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final
48	David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	PH	Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.83	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	0	WSH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final L
49	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CIN @ NYM	C	Nick Lodolo RHB vs LHP ERA 7.20	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	N/A	CIN @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final
50	Josh Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ TEX		Tatsuya Imai LHB vs RHP ERA 8.31	Hits	0.5	-124	44.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	55.4%	11.3%	N/A	HOU @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final

Showing 26–50 of 147 plays

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