Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

275

Total Found

147

Shown

147

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Blake Dunn ELITE	3/3	CIN @ NYM		Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.57	Hits	1.5	+450	131.8	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	18.2%	81.8%	0	CIN @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
2	Ryan Waldschmidt ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF		Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.27	Hits	1.5	+400	130.0	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	0	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final L
3	Jonah Heim ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ OAK		Luis Castillo S vs RHP ERA 6.41	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	SEA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
4	Tommy Troy ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SF		Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.27	Hits	0.5	-156	89.1	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.9%	39.1%	1	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final W
5	Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ TOR		Trey Yesavage LHB vs RHP ERA 1.07	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	2	MIA @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
6	Carter Jensen	3/3	NYY @ KC	C	Will Warren LHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 3.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	NYY @ KC 3:40 PM ET Final L
7	Ketel Marte	3/3	ARI @ SF	2B	Landen Roupp S vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.27	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	3	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final W
8	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ NYM		Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.57	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CIN @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
9	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final L
10	Teoscar Hernandez ELITE	3/3	COL @ LAD	LF	Tanner Gordon RHB vs RHP ERA 6.59	Hits	0.5	-189	84.6	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.4%	34.6%	1	COL @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final W
11	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ CLE		Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.75	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	WSH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final
12	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ CWS	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final
13	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	0	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final L
14	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ MIL	RF	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.70	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	STL @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final
15	Pete Alonso	3/3	TB @ BAL		Shane McClanahan RHB vs LHP ERA 2.82	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	0, 4, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	1	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/13 L
16	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ TEX	1B	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 3.60	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	1	HOU @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final W
17	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ TEX	1B	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 3.60	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	3	HOU @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final W
18	Pete Alonso	3/3	TB @ BAL		Shane McClanahan RHB vs LHP ERA 2.82	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/13 L
19	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ NYM		Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.57	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	1	CIN @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
20	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	C	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 4.93	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	COL @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
21	Matt Chapman	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final L
22	Orlando Arcia	3/3	MIN @ CWS		TBD	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
23	Chad Stevens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD		Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 4.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+333	76.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.1%	43.6%	N/A	COL @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final
24	Alejandro Osuna	3/3	HOU @ TEX	DH	Tatsuya Imai LHB vs RHP ERA 8.31	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	HOU @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final L
25	Corbin Carroll	3/3	ARI @ SF	RF	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.27	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	2	ARI @ SF 5:05 PM ET Final W

Showing 1–25 of 147 plays

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