📡 SCORES
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Strong Plays Record
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← May 27 →
Wins
1
Losses
1
Push
4
Win %
50%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-05-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
355
Total Found
206
Shown
206
Actionable
17
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIA @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 4.91
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
MIA @ TOR
1:07 PM ET
Final
W
202 William Contreras 3/3 STL @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 5.00
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
STL @ MIL
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
203 Randy Arozarena 3/3 SEA @ OAK LF
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.11
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
SEA @ ATH
3:05 PM ET
Final
L
204 Bo Bichette 3/3 CIN @ NYM 3B
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.97
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
CIN @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
205 Freddie Freeman 3/3 COL @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 3.86
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
206 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 NYY @ KC PH
RHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.72
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
NYY @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 201–206 of 206 plays
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