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Strong Plays Record
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← May 28 →
Wins
0
Losses
8
Push
1
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-05-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
152
Total Found
90
Shown
90
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Brandon Lowe 3/3 CHC @ PIT 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.83
 Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 27.8% 38.9% 0
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
27 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 CHC @ PIT LF
S vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.83
 Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 27.8% 38.9% 2
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
28 Colt Keith 3/3 LAA @ DET
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.61
 Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 27.8% 38.9% 0
LAA @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
29 Edgar Quero 3/3 MIN @ CWS
S vs LHP
ERA 1.26
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +260 72.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 27.8% 38.9% 0
MIN @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
30 Spencer Horwitz 3/3 CHC @ PIT 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.83
 Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 27.8% 38.9% 0
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
31 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CHC @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.83
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +254 71.8 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
 28.2% 38.4% N/A
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
32 Luisangel Acuna
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CWS PR
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.26
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 28.6% 38.1% N/A
MIN @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
33 Kevin McGonigle 3/3 LAA @ DET 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.61
 Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
 29.4% 37.3% 0
LAA @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
34 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 HOU @ TEX LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.65
 Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 29.4% 37.3% 0
HOU @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
35 Leody Taveras 3/3 TOR @ BAL
S vs LHP
ERA 3.86
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +225 69.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 30.8% 35.9% 0
TOR @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
L
36 Gleyber Torres
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ DET
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.61
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +210 67.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 32.3% 34.4% N/A
LAA @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
37 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TOR @ BAL DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.51
 Hits 1.5 +188 65.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 34.7% 31.9% 0
TOR @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
L
38 Marcelo Mayer 3/3 ATL @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 1.89
 Hits 0.5 +105 51.2 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 48.8% 17.9% 0
ATL @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
39 Zack Short
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ DET
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.61
 Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 52.4% 14.3% N/A
LAA @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
40 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CHC @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.00
 Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 53.5% 13.2% N/A
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
41 Josh Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 HOU @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
ERA 1.32
 Hits 0.5 -124 44.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 55.4% 11.3% N/A
HOU @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
42 Travis d'Arnaud
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ DET
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 5.94
 Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 56.5% 10.1% N/A
LAA @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
43 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3/3 ATL @ BOS
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 1.89
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +1300 42.9 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
 7.1% 26.2% 0
ATL @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
44 Dylan Beavers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 TOR @ BAL
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.86
 Hits 0.5 -137 42.2 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 57.8% 8.9% N/A
TOR @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
45 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CHC @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.83
 Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 60.0% 6.7% N/A
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
46 Blaze Alexander 3/3 TOR @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.86
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 6, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
TOR @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
L
47 Brooks Lee 3/3 MIN @ CWS 3B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
MIN @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
48 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 ATL @ BOS CF
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 1.89
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
ATL @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
49 Drew Romo
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIN @ CWS C
S vs LHP
ERA 1.26
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% N/A
MIN @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
50 Ian Happ 3/3 CHC @ PIT LF
S vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.00
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 5, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 2
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 26–50 of 90 plays
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