Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

152

Total Found

Shown

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Yordan Alvarez ELITE	3/3	HOU @ TEX	LF	Nathan Eovaldi LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.65	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	131.8	2, 4, 2	3/3 100.0%	18.2%	81.8%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
2	Munetaka Murakami ELITE	3/3	MIN @ CWS	1B	Kendry Rojas LHB vs LHP ERA 1.26	Home Runs	0.5	+350	127.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	22.2%	77.8%	0	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
3	Yordan Alvarez ELITE	3/3	HOU @ TEX	LF	Nathan Eovaldi LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.65	Home Runs	0.5	+325	126.5	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	23.5%	76.5%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
4	Alex Bregman ELITE	3/3	CHC @ PIT	DH	Paul Skenes RHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 3.00	Hits	1.5	+320	126.2	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	23.8%	76.2%	1	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
5	Chase Meidroth ELITE	3/3	MIN @ CWS	2B	Kendry Rojas RHB vs LHP ERA 1.26	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	0	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
6	Nolan Schanuel ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ DET		Jack Flaherty LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 5.94	Runs Batted In	0.5	+200	116.7	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	N/A	LAA @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
7	Brice Matthews ELITE	3/3	HOU @ TEX		Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.65	Hits	0.5	-115	96.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	53.5%	46.5%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
8	Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BAL	2B	Chris Bassitt RHB vs RHP ERA 5.51	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	0	TOR @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
9	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT		Colin Rea RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.83	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
10	Jarren Duran	3/3	ATL @ BOS	PH	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 1.89	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	ATL @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
11	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ DET	RF	Jack Flaherty LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 5.94	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
12	Joc Pederson	3/3	HOU @ TEX		Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 1.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
13	Leody Taveras ELITE	3/3	TOR @ BAL		Patrick Corbin S vs LHP ERA 3.86	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	1	TOR @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final W
14	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ BOS	DH	Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 2.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	ATL @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final
15	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	LAA @ DET	3B	Grayson Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 10.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	LAA @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
16	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ CWS	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final
17	Joc Pederson	3/3	HOU @ TEX		Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 1.32	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
18	Nolan Schanuel ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ DET		Jack Flaherty LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 5.94	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	LAA @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
19	Nathan Lukes ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	RF	Chris Bassitt LHB vs RHP ERA 5.51	Hits	0.5	-241	79.3	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	70.7%	29.3%	1	TOR @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final W
20	Blaze Alexander	3/3	TOR @ BAL		Patrick Corbin RHB vs LHP ERA 3.86	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	3, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	TOR @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
21	Colson Montgomery	3/3	MIN @ CWS	SS	Kendry Rojas LHB vs LHP ERA 1.26	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	2	MIN @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final W
22	Willson Contreras	3/3	ATL @ BOS	1B	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 1.89	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	ATL @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
23	Jarren Duran	3/3	ATL @ BOS	PH	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 1.89	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	4, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	ATL @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
24	Marcelo Mayer	3/3	ATL @ BOS		Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 1.89	Runs Batted In	0.5	+320	76.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	ATL @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
25	Oneil Cruz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	CF	Colin Rea LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.83	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 90 plays

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