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Strong Plays Record
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← May 31 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-05-31 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
384
Total Found
236
Shown
236
Actionable
16
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
101 TJ Friedl
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ATL @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.46
Hits 0.5 -105 48.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
ATL @ CIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
102 Danny Jansen
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ TEX C
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 2.69
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
KC @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
103 Nicky Lopez 3/3 KC @ TEX 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 2.69
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 2
KC @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
104 Patrick Bailey
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BOS @ CLE C
S vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.02
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
BOS @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
105 Christopher Morel
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIA @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 4.40
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
MIA @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
106 Sebastian Rivero
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 LAA @ TB
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.52
Hits 0.5 -116 46.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.7% 13.0% N/A
LAA @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final
107 Francisco Alvarez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ NYM C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.80
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% N/A
MIA @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
108 Daniel Schneemann
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ CLE 3B
LHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.02
Hits 0.5 -123 44.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
55.2% 11.5% N/A
BOS @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
109 Josh Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 KC @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 2.69
Hits 0.5 -124 44.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
55.4% 11.3% N/A
KC @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
110 Edouard Julien 3/3 SF @ COL
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 4.60
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 0
SF @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
111 Pedro Pages
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CHC @ STL C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 16.62
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 0
CHC @ STL
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
112 Travis d'Arnaud
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ TB
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.52
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% N/A
LAA @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final
113 Drew Romo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 DET @ CWS C
S vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 4.09
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 0
DET @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
114 Ronny Mauricio
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ NYM DH
S vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.80
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
MIA @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
115 Dylan Beavers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ BAL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.16
Hits 0.5 -137 42.2 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.8% 8.9% N/A
TOR @ BAL
12:15 PM ET
Final
116 Caleb Durbin 3/3 BOS @ CLE 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.57
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 2
BOS @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
117 Cam Smith 3/3 MIL @ HOU RF
RHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.83
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
MIL @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
118 Jeremy Pena 3/3 MIL @ HOU SS
RHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.83
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
MIL @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
119 Wade Meckler 3/3 LAA @ TB LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.52
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 4, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
LAA @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
120 Ildemaro Vargas 3/3 ARI @ SEA PH
S vs RHP
ERA 2.25
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
ARI @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
121 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.37
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
MIN @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
122 Colt Emerson 3/3 ARI @ SEA TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
ARI @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
123 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 KC @ TEX 3B
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 2.69
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 2
KC @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
124 Jose Altuve
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ HOU 2B
RHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.83
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% N/A
MIL @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
125 James McCann
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ SEA C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.25
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
ARI @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
Showing 101–125 of 236 plays