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Strong Plays Record
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← Jun 9 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
344
Total Found
225
Shown
225
Actionable
33
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Matt McLain 3/3 CIN @ SD 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.35
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
CIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/11
L
52 Wenceel Perez 3/3 MIN @ DET
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 4.02
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
53 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ OAK C
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Home Runs 0.5 +400 80.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
54 Jake McCarthy ELITE 3/3 CHC @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 5.19
Hits 0.5 -238 79.6 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
70.4% 29.6% 1
CHC @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
55 Brandon Marsh 3/3 PHI @ TOR PH
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.91
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 1
PHI @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
56 Jake Bauers
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ OAK 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Home Runs 0.5 +350 77.8 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% 0
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
57 Jesus Sanchez 3/3 PHI @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.22
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 3
PHI @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
58 Sebastian Rivero
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 HOU @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.71
Runs Batted In 0.5 +331 76.8 6, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.2% 43.5% 0
HOU @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
59 Matt Chapman 3/3 WSH @ SF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.70
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
WSH @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
60 Cam Smith 3/3 HOU @ LAA RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.44
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
HOU @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
61 Nick Kurtz 3/3 MIL @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.38
Home Runs 0.5 +300 75.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
W
62 Trent Grisham 3/3 NYY @ CLE CF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
63 Ben Rice 3/3 NYY @ CLE DH
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
64 Cody Bellinger 3/3 NYY @ CLE LF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
65 Dominic Canzone 3/3 SEA @ BAL RF
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 6.15
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
L
66 Gabriel Arias
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.45
Runs Batted In 0.5 +280 73.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% N/A
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
67 Geraldo Perdomo 3/3 ARI @ MIA SS
S vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.85
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 2
ARI @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
68 Kody Clemens 3/3 MIN @ DET 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.81
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 1
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
69 Konnor Griffin
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ PIT SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.47
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% N/A
LAD @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
70 Vinnie Pasquantino 3/3 TEX @ KC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 1
TEX @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
71 Hunter Goodman 3/3 CHC @ COL C
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 5.19
Home Runs 0.5 +260 72.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
CHC @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
72 Josh Jung 3/3 TEX @ KC
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
TEX @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
73 Randal Grichuk 3/3 ATL @ CWS LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.05
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
ATL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
74 Moises Ballesteros 3/3 CHC @ COL
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.08
Runs Batted In 0.5 +257 72.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.0% 38.7% 0
CHC @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
75 Brett Baty 3/3 STL @ NYM 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.21
Runs Batted In 0.5 +255 71.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.2% 38.5% 0
STL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–75 of 225 plays