Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

393

Total Found

222

Shown

222

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	TEX @ BOS	CF	Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	137.5	2, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	12.5%	87.5%	0	TEX @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final L
2	Garrett Mitchell ELITE	3/3	PHI @ MIL	CF	Cristopher Sánchez LHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 1.54	Hits	1.5	+500	133.3	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	0	PHI @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
3	Pete Alonso ELITE	3/3	SD @ BAL		Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 4.33	Runs Batted In	1.5	+300	125.0	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	0	SD @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
4	Royce Lewis ELITE	3/3	STL @ MIN	1B	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.99	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	1	STL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
5	Juan Soto ELITE	3/3	ATL @ NYM	LF	Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 2.66	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	2	ATL @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final W
6	Cole Young ELITE	3/3	SEA @ WSH	2B	Miles Mikolas LHB vs RHP ERA 5.90	Hits	1.5	+180	114.3	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	35.7%	64.3%	1	SEA @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final L
7	Austin Hedges ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	C	Casey Mize RHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.27	Hits	0.5	+112	102.8	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	47.2%	52.8%	N/A	DET @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Postponed
8	Brett Sullivan	3/3	COL @ OAK	C	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.68	Home Runs	0.5	+1400	93.3	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	6.7%	60.0%	0	COL @ ATH 3:05 PM ET Final L
9	Tyler O'Neill ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ BAL		Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 4.33	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	N/A	SD @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final
10	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ LAA	RF	Casey Legumina LHB vs RHP ERA 3.07	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	TB @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final
11	Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ PIT		Paul Skenes LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.84	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	MIA @ PIT 12:15 PM ET Final L
12	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CWS	3B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final
13	Vaughn Grissom ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ LAA	1B	Casey Legumina RHB vs RHP ERA 3.07	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	N/A	TB @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final
14	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TEX @ BOS	CF	Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.26	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	TEX @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final L
15	Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	PH	Cristopher Sánchez RHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 1.54	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	PHI @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
16	Jackson Chourio	3/3	PHI @ MIL	LF	Cristopher Sánchez RHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 1.54	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	1	PHI @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final W
17	Bo Bichette	3/3	ATL @ NYM	3B	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 2.66	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 6, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ATL @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
18	Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ KC		Stephen Kolek RHB vs RHP ERA 3.14	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	HOU @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final L
19	Bo Bichette	3/3	ATL @ NYM	3B	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 2.66	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	ATL @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
20	Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ WSH		Miles Mikolas LHB vs RHP ERA 5.90	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	SEA @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final L
21	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	CHC @ SF		Ryan Rolison LHB vs LHP ERA 2.25	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	CHC @ SF 3:10 PM ET Final L
22	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ NYM	DH	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.04	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	ATL @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final
23	Noelvi Marte	3/3	ARI @ CIN		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	ARI @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final W
24	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ CLE	1B	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	DET @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Postponed
25	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ WSH		Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 2.74	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	SEA @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final

Showing 1–25 of 222 plays

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