Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

327

Total Found

193

Shown

193

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	George Springer	3/3	TOR @ CHC	DH	Ben Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 1.85	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final W
52	Konnor Griffin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ COL	SS	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 7.36	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	PIT @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final
53	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA		Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.15	Runs Batted In	0.5	+264	72.5	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.5%	39.2%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
54	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	WSH @ TB	1B	PJ Poulin LHB vs LHP ERA 3.07	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	WSH @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
55	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ ARI		TBD	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	MIN @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final L
56	Jonah Heim	3/3	LAA @ OAK		José Soriano S vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.03	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final/10 L
57	LaMonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ HOU	PH	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.03	Runs Batted In	0.5	+231	69.8	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.2%	36.5%	N/A	CLE @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
58	Cody Bellinger	3/3	CIN @ NYY	LF	Rhett Lowder LHB vs RHP Weak 13% ERA 4.82	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	CIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
59	Jeremy Pena	3/3	CLE @ HOU	SS	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.03	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	3	CLE @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
60	Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ CHC	C	Ben Brown S vs RHP ERA 1.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+220	68.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final
61	Carter Jensen	3/3	STL @ KC	C	Michael McGreevy LHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.35	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	STL @ KC 8:15 PM ET Final L
62	Ryan O'Hearn	3/3	PIT @ COL	DH	Kyle Freeland LHB vs LHP ERA 7.36	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	PIT @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
63	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	0.5	+220	68.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
64	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ OAK	DH	Jeffrey Springs RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.55	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final/10 L
65	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA		Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.15	Runs Batted In	0.5	+206	67.3	5, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.7%	34.0%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
66	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	0.5	+206	67.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	32.7%	34.0%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
67	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	CIN @ NYY	PH	Rhett Lowder RHB vs RHP Weak 13% ERA 4.82	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	0	CIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
68	Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ LAD	3B	Trey Gibson RHB vs RHP ERA 5.81	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	66.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	N/A	BAL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
69	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ KC	2B	Seth Lugo LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 3.69	Hits	1.5	+195	66.1	3, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	0	STL @ KC 8:15 PM ET Final L
70	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	0.5	+184	64.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	35.2%	31.5%	1	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final W
71	Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Hits	1.5	+175	63.6	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	36.4%	30.3%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
72	Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ KC	SS	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.35	Hits	1.5	+160	61.5	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	38.5%	28.2%	N/A	STL @ KC 8:15 PM ET Final
73	Mike Trout ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ OAK	DH	Jeffrey Springs RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.55	Runs Batted In	0.5	+155	60.8	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	39.2%	27.5%	N/A	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final/10
74	Munetaka Murakami ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ DET	1B	Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 3.02	Runs Batted In	0.5	+155	60.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	39.2%	27.5%	N/A	CHW @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
75	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ COL	LF	Kyle Freeland S vs LHP ERA 7.36	Hits	1.5	+135	57.4	2, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	42.6%	24.1%	1	PIT @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 51–75 of 193 plays

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