Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

327

Total Found

193

Shown

193

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Nasim Nunez ELITE	3/3	WSH @ TB		Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+475	132.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	1	WSH @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong ELITE	3/3	TOR @ CHC	CF	Kevin Gausman LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.04	Home Runs	0.5	+350	127.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	22.2%	77.8%	0	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
3	Josh Bell ELITE	3/3	MIN @ ARI	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	125.0	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	1	MIN @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final L
4	Bryce Eldridge ELITE	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	0.5	+228	119.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	30.5%	69.5%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
5	Joe Mack ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA		Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.15	Hits	0.5	-119	95.7	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	54.3%	45.7%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
6	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA		Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.15	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
7	Ryan Ward ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ LAD		Trey Gibson LHB vs RHP ERA 5.81	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	0	BAL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
8	Jakob Marsee ELITE	3/3	SF @ MIA	DH	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.15	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	1	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final W
9	Donovan Walton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ OAK		Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.55	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final/10 L
10	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ OAK	RF	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.55	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final/10
11	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ LAD	3B	Trey Gibson RHB vs RHP ERA 5.81	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	BAL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
12	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ ARI	DH	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	1	MIN @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final L
13	Lane Thomas	3/3	STL @ KC		Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.35	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	STL @ KC 8:15 PM ET Final L
14	Matt Shaw	3/3	TOR @ CHC	3B	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.04	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
15	Brandon Valenzuela ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ CHC	C	Ben Brown S vs RHP ERA 1.85	Hits	0.5	-158	88.8	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.2%	38.8%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final
16	Anthony Volpe ELITE	3/3	CIN @ NYY	2B	Rhett Lowder RHB vs RHP Weak 13% ERA 4.82	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	2	CIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
17	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ ARI		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	MIN @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final L
18	Bryce Eldridge ELITE	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
19	Rafael Devers ELITE	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	2	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final W
20	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ TB		Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.67	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	WSH @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
21	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYY	3B	Rhett Lowder RHB vs RHP Weak 13% ERA 4.82	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	CIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
22	Maikel Garcia ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ KC	3B	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.35	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	STL @ KC 8:15 PM ET Final
23	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	CWS @ DET	3B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+650	86.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	13.3%	53.3%	0	CHW @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
24	Casey Schmitt ELITE	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	2	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final W
25	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ MIA		Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	SF @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 193 plays

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