Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

100%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

294

Total Found

168

Shown

168

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
126	Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ BAL	CF	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
127	Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	C	Peter Lambert S vs RHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
128	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ BAL	SS	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
129	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	DET @ NYY	PH	Casey Mize RHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.63	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	DET @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
130	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ COL		Sean Sullivan LHB vs LHP ERA 8.64	Runs Batted In	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	MIA @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
131	Kyle Teel	3/3	CWS @ BAL	C	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
132	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ ARI		TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	SF @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
133	Randy Arozarena	3/3	LAA @ SEA	LF	Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 7.40	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
134	Trent Grisham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	DET @ NYY	CF	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.63	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	DET @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
135	Willy Adames ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ ARI		TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	SF @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
136	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RF	Shane Baz S vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
137	Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ CLE		Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.85	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	N/A	TEX @ CLE 7:00 PM ET Final
138	Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ OAK	RF	Gage Jump LHB vs LHP ERA 2.93	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	LAD @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
139	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BAL	DH	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final
140	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PIT @ PHI	PH	Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 3.33	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	PIT @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final W
141	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ COL		Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 4.20	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	MIA @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final
142	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ TOR	RF	Trey Yesavage LHB vs RHP ERA 3.34	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	NYM @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
143	Christian Walker	3/3	MIN @ HOU	1B	Zebby Matthews RHB vs RHP ERA 4.15	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 4, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
144	J.P. Crawford	3/3	LAA @ SEA	SS	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 7.40	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
145	Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	2B	Zebby Matthews RHB vs RHP ERA 4.15	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
146	Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ CLE		Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.85	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	2	TEX @ CLE 7:00 PM ET Final W
147	Josh Naylor	3/3	LAA @ SEA	1B	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 7.40	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
148	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ TOR	LF	Trey Yesavage LHB vs RHP ERA 3.34	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	NYM @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
149	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ ARI		Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.67	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	SF @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
150	Nick Kurtz	3/3	LAD @ OAK		Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 4.84	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	LAD @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 126–150 of 168 plays

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