Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Jun 20 – Jul 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

210

Shown

210

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Cedric Mullins ELITE	3/3	TB @ HOU	PH	Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 4.00	Home Runs	0.5	+475	132.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	0	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final L
2	Mickey Moniak ELITE	3/3	SF @ COL	RF	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+400	130.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	0	SF @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
3	Dansby Swanson ELITE	3/3	STL @ CHC	SS	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+320	126.2	3, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	23.8%	76.2%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
4	Seiya Suzuki ELITE	3/3	STL @ CHC	RF	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
5	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ CHC	CF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.86	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	1	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final W
6	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	3B	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
7	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ CHC	CF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	3	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final W
8	Miguel Rojas ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	3B	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	0.5	-167	87.5	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	62.5%	37.5%	1	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
9	Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ OAK		Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
10	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ LAD	3B	Shohei Ohtani RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 1.58	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
11	Ozzie Albies	3/3	NYM @ ATL	2B	Christian Scott S vs RHP ERA 3.20	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	1	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
12	Endy Rodriguez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ WSH		Foster Griffin S vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Hits	0.5	-187	84.8	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.2%	34.8%	0	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
13	Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ HOU	PH	Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 4.00	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final L
14	David Fry	3/3	CWS @ CLE	PH	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
15	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ NYY	DH	Gerrit Cole S vs RHP ERA 4.06	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
16	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
17	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ NYY	C	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 4.06	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
18	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ ARI	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	MIL @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final/11
19	Dansby Swanson	3/3	STL @ CHC	SS	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	8, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
20	Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ ATL	SS	Grant Holmes S vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.96	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
21	James Wood	3/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
22	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ LAD	3B	Shohei Ohtani RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 1.58	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
23	Max Muncy	3/3	SD @ LAD	PH	Michael King LHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
24	Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE	3/3	PIT @ WSH		Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Hits	0.5	-210	82.3	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	67.7%	32.3%	3	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
25	Jose Trevino ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CIN		Trevor Rogers RHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.99	Runs Batted In	0.5	+456	82.0	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.0%	48.7%	N/A	BAL @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final

Showing 1–25 of 210 plays

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