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Strong Plays Record
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Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
390
Total Found
240
Shown
240
Actionable
21
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
226 Spencer Horwitz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ WSH 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 8.44
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
227 Alex Bregman 3/3 STL @ CHC DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.86
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
228 Angel Martínez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ CLE PH TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
CHW @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
229 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 PIT @ WSH LF
S vs LHP
ERA 8.44
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
W
230 Carson Benge 3/3 NYM @ ATL RF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.27
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
NYM @ ATL
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
231 Jasson Dominguez 3/3 MIN @ NYY
S vs RHP
ERA 4.43
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
232 Michael Busch 3/3 STL @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.86
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
233 Michael Harris II 3/3 NYM @ ATL CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.16
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
NYM @ ATL
8:08 PM ET
Final
W
234 Troy Johnston 3/3 SF @ COL 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
235 Alec Burleson 3/3 STL @ CHC 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 4.28
Hits 1.5 +209 17.6 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
32.4% 1.0% 2
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
W
236 TJ Rumfield 3/3 SF @ COL 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
Hits 1.5 +203 17.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.0% 0.3% 1
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
237 Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ ARI 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 3
MIL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
238 Elly De La Cruz 3/3 BAL @ CIN DH
S vs RHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
BAL @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
239 Hunter Goodman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SF @ COL C
RHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
240 Liam Hicks 3/3 MIA @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
Average 39%
ERA 5.10
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 3
MIA @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 226–240 of 240 plays
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