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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 5 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-05 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
361
Total Found
233
Shown
233
Actionable
20
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 MIL @ ARI CF TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
MIL @ ARI
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
152 Ivan Herrera 3/3 STL @ CHC DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
153 Masyn Winn 3/3 STL @ CHC
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 4, 1
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
154 Miguel Vargas 3/3 CWS @ CLE 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.06
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
L
155 Owen Caissie
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIA @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.98
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% N/A
MIA @ ATH
4:30 PM ET
Final
156 Starling Marte
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PHI @ KC
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 8%
ERA 5.87
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% N/A
PHI @ KC
3:00 PM ET
Final
157 Colby Thomas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIA @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.84
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 0
MIA @ ATH
4:30 PM ET
Final
L
158 James Wood 3/3 PIT @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.82
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 0
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
159 Randy Arozarena 3/3 TOR @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.31
 Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 1
TOR @ SEA
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
160 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ HOU PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.26
 Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 0
TB @ HOU
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
161 Adley Rutschman 3/3 BAL @ CIN
S vs LHP
ERA 4.68
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 31.8 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 0
BAL @ CIN
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
162 Brandon Lowe 3/3 PIT @ WSH 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 31.8 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 3
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
163 Colson Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ CLE SS
LHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.06
 Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 2
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
W
164 Dalton Rushing 3/3 SD @ LAD PH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
 Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 0, 1, 4
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 0
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
165 Sean Keys 3/3 TOR @ SEA PR
LHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.23
 Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 0
TOR @ SEA
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
166 Austin Hedges 3/3 CWS @ CLE C TBD Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 0
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
L
167 Cedric Mullins 3/3 TB @ HOU PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.26
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 0
TB @ HOU
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
168 Connor Wong
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 BOS @ LAA C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.99
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% N/A
BOS @ LAA
9:30 PM ET
Final
169 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ LAD CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.91
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 1
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
170 Jake Cronenworth 3/3 SD @ LAD 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.91
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 0
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
171 Josh Smith 3/3 DET @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 2.64
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 1
DET @ TEX
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
172 Mike Yastrzemski 3/3 NYM @ ATL LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.73
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 0
NYM @ ATL
12:30 PM ET
Final
L
173 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 TB @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.82
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +400 30.0 6, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 0
TB @ HOU
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
174 Dominic Canzone
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TOR @ SEA RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.31
 Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 20.8% 12.5% N/A
TOR @ SEA
5:00 PM ET
Final
175 Max Muncy 3/3 SD @ LAD PH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
 Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 20.8% 12.5% 0
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–175 of 233 plays
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