Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-06 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

161

Total Found

101

Shown

101

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	3B	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.01	Home Runs	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
27	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ SF	DH	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.32	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final W
28	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	LF	Cam Schlittler LHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.01	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
29	Daylen Lile	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
30	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ ATL	LF	Reynaldo López LHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
31	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ WSH	LF	Miles Mikolas LHB vs RHP ERA 5.78	Home Runs	0.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
32	Gabriel Rincones Jr.	3/3	PHI @ KC		Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.77	Runs Batted In	0.5	+202	66.9	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.1%	33.6%	0	PHI @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final L
33	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ STL	2B	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.55	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	1, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
34	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ ATL	3B	Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Hits	1.5	+195	66.1	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	2	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 W
35	Enrique Hernández ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	COL @ LAD	3B	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 7.46	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	66.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	N/A	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11
36	William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	C	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.55	Hits	1.5	+194	66.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	34.0%	32.7%	0	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
37	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	MIL @ STL	2B	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 2.97	Hits	1.5	+188	65.3	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	34.7%	31.9%	0	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
38	Brett Sullivan	3/3	COL @ LAD	C	Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 4.81	Runs Batted In	0.5	+179	64.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	35.8%	30.8%	0	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L
39	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	1.5	+170	63.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	37.0%	29.6%	1	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
40	Rafael Devers	3/3	TOR @ SF		Kevin Gausman LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.32	Hits	1.5	+169	62.8	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	37.2%	29.5%	0	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
41	Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	1B	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 2.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+155	60.8	0, 1, 4	2/3 66.7%	39.2%	27.5%	0	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
42	Casey Schmitt	3/3	TOR @ SF		Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.32	Hits	1.5	+130	56.5	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	43.5%	23.2%	0	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
43	Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD		Kyle Freeland S vs LHP ERA 7.46	Hits	0.5	-108	48.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	51.9%	14.7%	N/A	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11
44	Freddy Fermin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ SD	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	N/A	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final
45	Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SD	DH	Walker Buehler LHB vs RHP ERA 5.07	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	0	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
46	Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ SD	PH	Walker Buehler LHB vs RHP ERA 5.07	Hits	0.5	-131	43.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	56.7%	10.0%	N/A	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final
47	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Hits	0.5	-134	42.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.3%	9.4%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
48	Gabriel Rincones Jr.	3/3	PHI @ KC		Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.77	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	1	PHI @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final W
49	Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ STL	3B	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.55	Hits	0.5	-137	42.2	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.8%	8.9%	0	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
50	Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD		Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 4.81	Hits	0.5	-138	42.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.0%	8.7%	0	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L

Showing 26–50 of 101 plays

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